Not sure if you guys have seen the NY Fed is on Twitter... http://twitter.com/NYFed_news http://twitter.com/NYFed_data
Long might be wrong. It is starting to tilt down more and more. Let's wait for a break down or a good test at least. Take your longs under the rubber. Cover.
full tick in 30Y is such great news, How deep do you guys think it will be after a month or two. My guess is 150, by 150, I hope more though.
Those of you who trade 10 year ... What are you primarily watching for an indication of which direction we're going in (other than price action). Ie which other markets are you taking directional cues from? I imagine most 10yr scalpers cue off of movement in other markets along with getting a feel for price action and what paper is doing, playing levels, etc. Appreciate the feedback!
I just watch the ZN chart. I tried to use ES ZB ZT etc... but I got to confused. For "scalping" (3-6 points scalping) I just use the ZN and keep track of news events. It seems that a good understanding of the curve and where the cash markets are would help. But not sure how to get that information. IMO for very short term trading the less information one has the better. EOD can be used to create a picture (background) of the situation and the next day just use the ZN chart. One problem for me is to stay oriented and not freeze. When the shooting starts it is very easy to freeze and get lost. Lights out then. Then EOD plan and rehearsals help. Confidence and conquering fear helps too. Looking at too many charts does not help IMO.
At least that. Figure it will double the current market right away and a few weeks after the roll I think you"ll see the 150 x150. And it may eventually approach 40-50% of the ZN bid ask if we get the tick scalpers and Algo's back in the game.