Anybody else short US 30 Bond

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by richard_m, Dec 18, 2007.

  1. The shorts from the last few days are in labour. :) What will they deliver?
     
    #1331     May 11, 2009
  2. trader99

    trader99

    Freakin' unbelievable. Fed stepping into the markets! I was able to cover some of it on the way up. But still have some. :( Hmm..

    You think this move will last? If it does last then I'll cover the rest of my positions.
     
    #1332     May 11, 2009
  3. It looks as if the TBond options are traded out only about one year.
     
    #1333     May 11, 2009
  4. where you been under a rock? what do think caused the 8 handle pop in ZB two fomc's ago when they announced QE. That is why we were talking about a 3.25% coupon on the tens bro. B Gross was saying the fed was uncomfortable with a 3.10-3.20 print in the tens. printing 3.202 as i write this
     
    #1334     May 12, 2009
  5. Today:

    Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase

    05/31/12 – 08/31/13

    I think the downside is done for today.
     
    #1335     May 12, 2009
  6. Sorry for the late reply, as I've been trading the ZN, but now that my last long position is well on its way, I think there is a definite danger of a touch of 121 160 or even close to 122 000 today. Since 0903 to 0906 EST on the 1 min ZN chart, I've known that whatever short bias I had coming in today had to be tossed.

    I'm not saying the above targets are a definite possibility just that they are possible from where I see things at 1039 EST. Keep in mind that I'm just about to call it quits today. I'm looking for a retest of the highs at 121 120. If it doesn't happen I'm out.
     
    #1336     May 12, 2009
  7. By the way, if anyone followed my time cycles when I was posting my journal, I'm looking for something to happen around 1400 EST today, Tuesday May 12 2009. To be honest, if it weren't so late for me, I would be waiting for the above time to trade multiples of my usual ZN lot size. I have no idea what the trade will be. I use other tools to confirm what I should do as the time approaches. The idea behind the time cycles studies are that I'm looking for the most ideal time to trade, predicting this at least a day in advance. I used to predict the time and the direction but I found that predicting the time is actually much more important. Other tools can get you in the right direction.
     
    #1337     May 12, 2009
  8. bought 6.007 billion, which is less than yesterday maybe saving their bullets for the long end?
     
    #1338     May 12, 2009
  9. Saving bullets for the long end? They had an opportunity on the long end yesterday and didn't spend.
     
    #1339     May 12, 2009
  10. they are about 1/3 through their 300 billion total I was just thinking about later on this year, who knows I just trade em. we probably will stay in some range. whether that is a 3% to 3.40 ten year, maybe, we stayed between 2.75 and 3.05 for a while the range is just a little lower now.
     
    #1340     May 12, 2009