You’re right, but I think my English was confusing. I didn’t mean shorting options/stocks with unlimited risk, but rather shorting NVDA (shorting as direction) via kind of directional calendar like structure (leaning south) plus long vega, and I don’t need to pay for time decay like I would with puts. If NVDA goes against me and crosses $510 - $520, then I’ll immediately start defending the spread, I couldn’t do that with a put. Otherwise yes, buying the put would be much better than being naked short stocks.
For potentially stopping freight trains, I’d only attempt it on institutional stocks (mega-caps), on weekly charts, at key zone and after a long extended trend so the stock should at least consolidate before busting through the zone. Also, I’d need the fib extension to be 1.68, I would not attempt it at 1.272. Alternatively, the sock would have to be hitting an upper channel line, or three drive patterns, or something like that suggestive that distribution might develop. And few other subtle clues.
%% CASEY Jones knew how to stop a freight train, he told his fireman to ''jump'' \he hit the brakes hard but the [old timer] knew his train would crash in the other caboose. Mr Jones widow wife recieved $3,000[multiply x35 for 2022 US $] QQQ + SPY tends to go down in SEPT\ for the same reason apple harvest dumps+ sells in SEPT tend to drive down price.
That whole sector has been strong lately,with NVDA the leader. Doesn't sound like a good candidate for shorting.
NVDA trade’s logical, not like the low float pumps. The algos on NVDA have beautiful rhyths. Pumps are chaos, $9 to $80 intraday.
%% EXACTLY/ but I exited QLD[etf=3.33% in NVDA,+7%in MSFT/ tech leaders...] this week. SEPT usually down for SPY + QQQ, for the same reason apple seller$ dump + sell in SEPT, drives down price. Stock Traders Almanac SEPT notes. But those ETFs make less + lose lessLOL. Logical exit, but NOT a prediction.