Juts curious why towards end of 2008, after Lehman Brothers failure, usd was growing stronger? Thanks
It may have been due to the world's realization that other countries were worse off economically than previously expected, although the timing of that I'm unclear on.
It's either manipulation or a continued scramble for dollars of world-wide funds from redemption pressures. Nonetheless, don't worry about WHY it happened, just trade w/ the trend. I can think of 1000 reasons why the bond market should have imploded by now but it hasn't. We've been in a bull market in bonds for >20yrs. Once we figure out why something has happened it reverses. The market is why.
01-29-09 04:12 PM Juts curious why towards end of 2008, after Lehman Brothers failure, usd was growing stronger? Thanks ######################################### .... Expected recession in all countries . and folloving more heavy role of the State against privat sector . Sell all what posssible - stocks,futures ,close debt and going for most "secure asset " USD This is not true secure . Most secure is gold But operation with gold mutiple restricted from all countries through tax ... Heavy influence of propaganda of M.Friedman and follover's against gold standart In case of protracted intense war ,which would related to USA interess ,this propaganda would crashed .... Your repsectfully
nothing is safe in intense war like world war 2 wealth was destroyed in world war 2 literally destroyed.
tradersboredom nothing is safe in intense war like world war 2 wealth was destroyed in world war 2 literally destroyed ###################################### You are false .You can read strategic bombing survey - How was financed second worls war ... What of measurements was sued in different countries Gold ,agriculture price would go up . State can and would used differed restriction as example Possesion of the gold 10 years penalty & Participation in black market -dead penalty & In Leningrad through blockade dead more as one millions people ( Wheat 125-600 gramm per day) Black market used gold ,agriculture This who was catched as speculator in black market in some case received dead penalty on place through military law Author support point of view ,that in case of war gold (in particulary in small coins ) would play important role as secure asset Agriculture and some pharma would play important role But each state would use heavy restrictions until dead penalty for possesion and speculations with gold You respectfully
The U.S consumer is getting weaker and U.S consumption is big..therefore exports from other countries are declining affecting their respective currencies..repatriation then follows to the traditional safe haven currencies of recent history..the GREENBACK...et voila ! C'est la guerre.
One word - RISK AVERSION. As global markets are in decline, investor (US and otherwise) are selling risky assets denominated in other currencies and buying back dollars (treasuries) sending these funding currencies (USD and JPY) higher. This coupled with deleveraging flows are the main reasons the dollar has rallied in '08.
a competing theory is that dollar denominated debts are becoming harder to roll over, so foreigners are having to buy dollars to settle them.