Another Thread on Nassim Taleb - COVID19 Pandemic Isn't A Black Swan

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by ironchef, Jun 26, 2020.

  1. ironchef

    ironchef

    Wow someone on ET actually knows Nassim Taleb!

    I am impressed. To us peasants, he is royalty.
     
    #11     Jun 26, 2020
  2. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    don't lump us peasants into the same basket
     
    #12     Jun 26, 2020
    apdxyk and ironchef like this.
  3. JSOP

    JSOP

    No it's more like a Grey Swan.
     
    #13     Jun 26, 2020
  4. JSOP

    JSOP

    Trading according to what he preaches is like having a survival compound for nuclear disaster. Super expensive to build, super expensive to maintain, losing money x% of the time but only able to allow you to survive this ONE time when everybody else will be dead. You having a windfall of profit when everybody is piss poor, jumping out of the window, declaring bankrupt... (This is probably why Michael Burry immediately closed his hedge fund after his Big Short success?)

    Is it really worth it to lose all those money just for this one chance of making a windfall? I dunno. To me it's more like a Martingale system in another form. You keep betting on the potential of a Black Swan until you make it big by making back all of the losses/potential profit that you gave up when a Black Swan finally rolls around but if the Black Swan never happens, you keep on betting and keep on losing.
     
    Last edited: Jun 26, 2020
    #14     Jun 26, 2020
    Atikon and ironchef like this.
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    OK, you are in the rich basket, me in the poor house. :D
     
    #15     Jun 26, 2020
  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Black swan seeker = biggest I told you so jackass.
     
    #16     Jun 27, 2020
  7. Sig

    Sig

    Pretty clearly a narc. Unfortunately as we see all too clearly at the national level, while all narcs can be destructive, rich narcs can be incredibly so.
     
    #17     Jun 27, 2020
    destriero likes this.
  8. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    Not all of us poors follow charlatans.
     
    #18     Jun 27, 2020