an Option metric for " Likely " Profit after X move .....

Discussion in 'Options' started by md2324, Feb 18, 2016.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    You mean a "super option"? You have to buy those from unicorns.
     
    #11     Feb 18, 2016
  2. K-Pia

    K-Pia

    You don't really buy ITM Options. Option traders usually get involved in OTM or ATM options. ITM is like gettin' the underlying.
     
    #12     Feb 18, 2016
  3. destriero

    destriero


    Yeah, they're proxies. I was joking with Mav. IOW, stating a 200-pt ITM option (non-zero NPV) would have a +NPV, but not return. FWIW, I probably trade 600-700 ITMs a day.
     
    #13     Feb 18, 2016
    K-Pia likes this.
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    How would it have a positive NPV? You have to "subtract" cost, in this case, the 200 pt ITM premium from the cash flows. Your future stream of cash flows should be valued off a random walk model meaning the NPV by definition should be exactly zero unless you feel the option is mispriced.
     
    #14     Feb 18, 2016
  5. destriero

    destriero

    Sorry, not +NPV, and it would be discounted by carry (being that ITM). I was typing on the iPad. I mean non-zero value (intrinsic) as a joke.
     
    #15     Feb 18, 2016