An Anomaly in Democrat's Thinking

2 more polls show NJ gov race is tossup:
"
In an election for New Jersey governor today, 10/08/09, 26 days until votes are counted, Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine is toe-to-toe with Republican challenger Chris Christie, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV in New York City. Within the margin of sampling error, it's Christie 43%, Corzine 40%. 1 in 7 voters reject both the Democrat and the Republican.
Who is independent Daggett hurting more? Of those who voted for Corzine in 2005, 67% stick with Corzine in 2009. 17% of 2005 Corzine voters crossover to Republican Christie in 2009; 13% vote Daggett. Of those who voted for Corzine's 2005 Republican opponent, Doug Forrester, 82% vote for Republican Christie in 2009; 4% defect to Corzine; 14% vote Daggett.

Among men, Christie leads by 13. Among women, Corzine leads by 9. A 22-point gender gap. Among whites, Christie leads 3:2. Among blacks, Corzine leads 6:1. Christie, who became the Republican nominee after defeating a more conservative Republican, Steve Lonegan, in the primary, leads 4:1 among Conservatives. Corzine leads 4:1 among liberals. Moderates split. Corzine carries Northern Jersey. Christie carries Central Jersey and South Jersey.

40% of voters say property taxes are the most important issue; Christie carries this group 2:1. Among the 21% who say the economy is tops, Corzine, former chairman of Goldman Sachs, wins 5:3. Christie runs strongly among the 9% who say corruption is the top issue.

Christie leads among Jets fans, Giants fans and Eagles fans. Corzine leads among Springsteen fans, even though Christie has been to 120 Springsteen concerts."



With less than a month to go before Election Day, a new survey conducted for Stan Greenberg and James Carville’s organization Democracy Corps by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research finds that Democratic Governor Jon Corzine has now moved slightly ahead of Republican Chris Christie, after pulling into a statistical dead heat two weeks ago. Corzine now leads by 3 points, garnering 41 percent of the vote to Christie’s 38 percent and independent Chris Daggett’s 14 percent. Importantly, Corzine has now consolidated the vote among his base, crossing the 80 percent threshold among Democrats and winning more Democrats than Christie does Republicans for the first time.

Christie’s standing has declined markedly in the last two weeks, with 42 percent now rating the Republican unfavorably versus just 30 percent who rate him favorably. This net -12 point favorability rating is a 10-point decline from two weeks ago. Corzine is rated favorably by 37 percent of voters and unfavorably by 46 percent, for a net favorability rating of -9 points."

http://www.democracycorps.com/strat...s-first-lead-in-race-for-new-jersey-governor/

Seneca

ps-The Dems are getting trounced in the Old Dominion.

 

"Thursday, October 08, 2009

Jon Corzine's Hilarious Ethnic Jokes

The news that Jon Corzine's campaign is trying fat jokes against Chris Christie comes as something of an improvement over his past attempts at humor:

Oh, that's okay; New Jersey doesn't have too many Italian-Americans or Jews."

 

In another shocker in the NJ race, INTRADE now has Corzine winning. IMO, Intrade is one if not the best forecaster.



S

 

Yeah, baby.

 

Intrade is useless unless the outcome is already known.

 

Damned, how can I short intrade ? Sounds like $ in the bank.

 

Spot on, nice call.