an anecdote

Discussion in 'Trading' started by emk662, Jun 20, 2001.

  1. emk662


    When I was in Shanghai, China, I heard about an anecdote from friends who worked at Shanghai Stock Exchange.

    In the early July, 1998, Bill Clinton visited Shanghai as a part of his China trip, and one event was to visit the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The original arrangement for him was to ring the opening bell of the market at 9:30 AM on that day, but one Whitehouse aide told Clinton that "according to Wallstreet's calculation, on that day the China stock market would go down". Therefore, Clinton made a slight change on the schedule. Instead of ring the bell, Clinton came to the Exchange in the noon, and gave a 10-minute small speech in the trading hall. In return he got a employee uniform jacket from the Exchange, and he "spent an impressive noon" according to his words. On that day, the market index did go down about 10 points which is about 1%.

    Are the Wall street guys really so good to be able to calculate the market changes? If they could, what are their methods?
  2. Babak


    Its the time difference stupid! -Bill Clinton

    (just kidding) if the US market goes down, the Asian mkts will chase it when they open. So it doesn't take much brains to know the bias of Asia when you know the way the day went in NY!

  3. Dustin


    I was bored so I just did a correlation test of the Nikkei 225 to the S&P 500 using close value from Mar 22 to June 19 of this year. I got a .49 value for anyone who cares ;-)

    (The range can be -1 to 1 so there is a positive correlation)

  4. no way, Clinton was up late the night before smoking cigars with Monica, thats why he was late..

    seriously, why would he care which direction the market might go?

  5. emk662


    Why did Clinton care? Ususally, market going down is considered not auspicious, especially in China.
  6. dozu888


    especially in Cnina? lol