Alan Greenspan Replacement - The Best Choice

Discussion in 'Economics' started by SouthAmerica, Aug 26, 2005.

  1. .

    October 24, 2005

    SouthAmerica: Reply to Libertad

    When I am recommending Stephen Roach to be the new Fed Chairman – I am thinking in terms of what would be beneficial for the United States.

    If they choose another Alan Greenspan – or someone who will follow Greenspan’s current Fed policies – that would not be good for the US on the long run, but it will be very beneficial for my country Brazil. If we continue the same economic game that has been played in the last 2 years between US, China and Brazil – in another 3 years by the end of the 2nd term of the Bush administration the Brazilian government will have “Zero” cumulative outstanding debt. And that is a good position to be when your country is among the new emerging economic powers.

    I live in the United States and I am worried that today the foundations of the American economy are being built on quicksand.

    #21     Oct 24, 2005
  2. just21


    Bush's personal banker at the local savings and loan has to be favourite!
    #22     Oct 24, 2005
  3. just21


    #23     Oct 24, 2005
  4. I vote for Jim Cramer as he'd be way more lively than ole Greenie.

    #24     Oct 24, 2005
  5. who is the biggest republican supporter? thats who will get the job,not the best person for the job.
    #25     Oct 24, 2005
  6. all I know is I have my burlap sacks and wheelbarrows ready to catch all that free helicopter money from MrBernanke
    #26     Oct 24, 2005
  7. hmmm...

    I think it might be less useful to look at economic issues as some sort of power struggle between countries, then to look at it as an optimization process.

    I don't think there are going to be any "masters" anymore than there are "masters" right now, but it certainly won't be in certain areas of Asia, like Japan, where as of 2004, they were struggling with a debt that was significantly larger then the one in the US relative to GDP. Another important thing to note, is that tax rates in the US are relatively low compared to many other countries (European countries in particular) so the US can do alot to raise revenues, whereas other countries have less room to lift their tax rates.

    I also don't think repition increases the validity of one's opinion. It has been duly noted who people think is most qualified.
    #27     Oct 24, 2005
  8. awesome $$$

    we are all rich now$$

    Free helicopter money for all----

    wonder if its a good time to start buying homes again now that money will be more free that it already was..
    #28     Oct 24, 2005
  9. .

    SouthAmerica: I guess “Joe the bank teller from Crawford, Texas” was not available for the job.

    “Bush Picks Bernanke As New Fed Chairman”
    AP – Associated Press – October 24, 2005

    WASHINGTON - President Bush on Monday selected Ben Bernanke, chairman of the president's Council of Economic Advisers, to replace Alan Greenspan as Fed chairman, according to an administration official. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because the nomination had not yet been announced. An announcement was expected at 1 p.m. EDT. Greenspan, who took over in August, 1987, wraps up his term as chairman Jan. 31.

    …Bernanke, 51, is a former member of the Fed board. He also was a professor at Princeton University and chairman of the economics department.

    Bernanke and Greenspan differ on whether the Fed should set targets for inflation — Bernanke thinks it should, Greenspan does not — but otherwise they share a similar philosophy. In fact, while he was at the Fed, market observers would often look at Bernanke's speeches for insight into Greenspan's thinking.

    There had been widespread speculation that Bush might act as early as this month to give the Senate time to confirm the nomination before Greenspan's term expired.

    However, announcing Greenspan's successor also provided a diversion for a White House reeling under congressional criticism of the Harriet Miers' Supreme Court nomination and a federal investigation into whether top officials leaked the name of a CIA operative for political purposes.

    Wall Street reacted favorably to word that Bernanke was Bush's pick. The Dow Jones industrial average jumped 60 points minutes after Bernanke's name leaked out and was up 110 points at midday.

    Bernanke has a reputation as a straight-talking economist and a Republican who avoids telegraphing any ideology.

    In June 2005, Bernanke was sworn in as chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers. He had served as a member of the board of governors of the Fed since August 2002, A summa cum laude graduate of Harvard University in 1975, he received his doctorate from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1979. During his years in Boston, he focused on the economic underpinnings of the Great Depression and the losing track record of the city's beloved baseball team, the Red Sox.

    "Economics is a very difficult subject," Bernanke once said. "I've compared it to trying to learn how to repair a car when the engine is running."

    Greenspan was 61 when he first took over the demanding job as Fed chairman.

    His first government service was as chairman of the president's Council of Economic Advisers during the Ford administration. He had originally been tapped for that post by Richard Nixon, who resigned before Greenspan took office.

    He joined the government after a long stint running Townsend-Greenspan, a New York consulting firm which had as its clients some of the country's top corporations.

    It was during this period that he gained a reputation as an economist who loved to delve into the minutia of economic data, from monthly box car loadings to steel production data to try to determine the future direction of the economy.

    He pursued his Fed job in the same way, often calling economists at other agencies to discuss the fine points of the government statistics. He would rise early every morning for a two-hour soak in his bathtub, time he used to devour the latest government statistics and Fed staff memos on the economy.

    Greenspan succeeded another Fed legend, Paul Volcker, who during his eight years at the Fed had pushed interest rates up to their highest level since the Civil War in a successful effort to break a decade-long bout of inflation but also pushed the country into the deep 181-82 recession.

    Greenspan never had to resort to pushing interest rates so high, mainly because during his tenure inflation never soared to the double-digit rates that Volcker confronted.

    The economy did suffer two recessions during Greenspan's long tenure at the Fed, a 1990-91 downturn that occurred in part because of a huge spike in oil prices following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, and a 2001 downturn that was worsened by the deadly terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.

    It was under Greenspan that the central bank began in 1996 for the first time to announce on the day of its meeting whether it had made any changes to the short-term interest rates the Fed controls.

    While technically Greenspan only had one vote on the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed chairman was exceptionally adept at building consensus among the Fed board members and regional bank presidents who make up the panel that meets eight times a year to set interest rates.

    He also demonstrated a keen mastery of Washington's political power games. His long tenure at the Fed was due in no small part to his ability to get along with whoever occupied the White House.

    A lifelong conservative Republican, Greenspan was first selected as Fed chairman by Ronald Reagan in 1987. He was re-nominated by the senior George Bush, also a Republican, and won two more selections for four-year terms by Bill Clinton.

    #29     Oct 24, 2005
  10. Man, I really had my heart set on seeing Jim Cramer testifying before Congress.
    #30     Oct 24, 2005