AHG - Profitable Strategy for Struggling Traders

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Anekdoten, Jul 19, 2007.

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  1. Thanks, you bet...
     
    #151     Aug 1, 2007
  2. I'm getting a LOT of questions on stops.

    ie "Anek, what kind of stops do you use".

    Here is the answer to one PM I just replied to, figure it can help some of my friends so posting it here.


    ...........


    Notice how I use stochastic crossing for entries. I feel that the
    stop should be large enough to handle noise and not much else. Since
    you are using the SIM I will let you be the judge of this.
    It's very dependent on the type of trader, the better your
    aim/precision the smaller your stop will get in time.

    Start with 12-15 and adjust accordingly. No need to rush, polish those skills.

    Good to hear from you.

    ..............

    Bottomline is that as you get more experienced your entries will be more optimal. For now, stay on the sim and you be the judge of what your entries require.

    You need just enough to handle noise, anything else and it's prob not the type of trade you should be taking.

    Aside from recognizing the current trend or lack of this is probably the most critical area of my method. Unfortunately, it is extremely dependent on entry and the trader. Use sim to take statistics.

    For instance....

    - What do the good trades usually need based on my entries ?

    - Will a bigger stop had made this losing trade a winning one ? Is it worth it based on my targets ? Will I be deviating from the initial premise to take the trade ?

    You need to ask yourself these questions and take notes. Very important.

    I will rather pass on a trade that requires a big stop than take it. As a last resort, minimal car size then. In the end, if you miss it, so be it, odds are that the next day, market is there waiting for you to try again :)

    It's a risk management game.

    Anek
     
    #152     Aug 1, 2007
  3. Razor

    Razor

    Excellent info, thanks Anek ! :D


     
    #153     Aug 1, 2007
  4. tv92670

    tv92670

    AHG tough today... 2/5 on the DIA +.21. Could've done better if I had tried to really scalp, but instead I tried to ride the microtrends and would end up getting stopped. Oh well, at least it was a positive day in a choppy market.

    Tyler
     
    #154     Aug 2, 2007
  5. Razor

    Razor

    Hi,

    Only 3 trades here NQ, 2 winners but small.....ended up +$36 on the day, better than a loss :D
     
    #155     Aug 2, 2007
  6. Trades for 08-02-07

    Tough day, chop land until the later afternoon. Moves were not as strong as yesterday, except late afternoon.

    If you broke even, had small losses or small wins today, give yourself an applause.

    If you made money, you are getting it and I'm proud of you. Means you are trading with caution and taking only what should be taken, or most of it.

    Longs

    1st Winner
    2nd Winner
    3rd Loser full stop
    4th BE
    5th Winner
    6th Loser full stop, bad stop fill too!
    7th Grand slam !
    8th BE

    Shorts

    1st Winner
    2nd BE
    3rd The one i forgot to mark with the vertical line, full stop
    4th Winner
    5th BE
    6th Winner
    7th Winner
    8th Winner
    9th Full stop

    Total

    9 Winners
    4 Losers
    4 BE, due to commissions I will count as 1 full Loser

    ...so 9 Winners and 5 Losers

    Circles identify chop evidence. Funny how yesterday I spoke so much about the chop, i guess I was expecting it after so many strong move days.

    Exercise for today, work on spotting the chop on today's chart, yes, again :)

    Hint of the day: Study stoch crosses with the trend, check my entries :) It's a good indicator, fast too, just need to know WHEN to take those crosses. They don't always help, obviously.

    Real tough day unless you had full focus of those highs and lows.

    Anek
     
    #156     Aug 2, 2007
  7. Guys and Gals,

    I would like to talk about Winners and Losers.

    There are only five possible outcomes in trading.

    1-)Big Losses

    2-)Small losses

    3-)Big Winners

    4-)Small Winners

    5-)Break even

    Stay away from the first one and the rest will EMBRACE you.

    When the system fails to produce profits it is probably because the market had no direction and nothing but reversals. When this happens you WILL have a losing day even if following the system.

    We have yet to see this but when it comes I will most likely post a losing day.

    However, it will most likely fall in the small losses category and that is what is all about.

    Remember....

    If there are no 2 higher lows and no 2 higher highs, it's not an uptrend.

    If there are no 2 lower lows and 2 lower highs, it's not a downtrend.

    Don't anticipate (yet), stick to the plan.

    Stay with the plan, work on those skills, this is good stuff.

    Those that has seen me trade live know what I can do. This is most of what I do, nothing else, no magic, no tricks. And last but not least, I'm giving you the tools, the samples, the manual on how to do it.

    Stay disciplined, practice, and help me make a great thing better.

    Let me see you work on those skills, show me that you can do it, I ask for nothing else in return.

    Anek
     
    #157     Aug 2, 2007
  8. Razor

    Razor

    Thanks Anek for the continued motivation and info, hugely appreciated.

    As a note I have been trading with a completely blank chart accept for price bars and heiken bars. I will draw in fibs and trendlines at times but that is it, zero indicators. Do you recommend putting on the stoch and using that for entries or if I am breakeven / winning small for right now then try and learn with price only ?

    Cheers,
    Ray :D

     
    #158     Aug 2, 2007
  9. Razor,

    I recommend that you find one and only one tool to help you find optimal entries.

    It is IMPERATIVE that you keep it simple or you will lose focus.

    I use stochastic crosses when I feel a trend has been determined with an opportunity to enter with low risk. You can clearly see this on my charts, on most anyway.

    I use Heikin Ashi to adjust my trailing stops/targets or otherwise known as riding the winners.

    I use trendlines to gauge the big picture and Fibonacci for prediction.

    As it is now, I don't recommend much else. However, if any reader has found a tool to enhance the system by all means, share it and I will promise to test it. If it helps I will not only thank you but will use it and recommend it.

    Anek
     
    #159     Aug 2, 2007
  10. Ok this question merits it's own post.

    How do you feel about averaging down ?

    I feel it's the devil, and you should never ever do it. It's a recipe for disaster and I recommend everyone following my system to stay as far away from it as you possibly can.

    Hope I'm 100% clear on this.

    Anek
     
    #160     Aug 2, 2007
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