Ag trade ideas

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by TraDaToR, Aug 24, 2014.

  1. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    I don't have a correlation number but CPO and soyoil pretty much follow each other. Please note the percentage of soyoil share in soybean crush is pretty low right now, close to 30% so it should be an other reason for soyoil to go up in the near future...;)
     
    #731     Jul 15, 2015
  2. @TraDaToR
    The spread Bean Oil-CPO has a low value around 50 €/t, its currently arround 100 €/t
    So if there is a big move in CPO, Beain Oil should follow closely.

    KW-ZW looks good on a fundamental basis but KW-ZW on july finished at -30 cents/bushel !
     
    #732     Jul 15, 2015
  3. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Update on my stats :

    Winners : 24
    Losers : 7
    Scratches : 11
     
    #733     Jul 15, 2015
    i960, thefuturestrader and Vyki like this.
  4. Man, corn and soybeans caught a bid off some strong support. I have no idea what to think here. Weather is getting better, but there is still a lot of uncertainty. I bet we trade in ranges for a while here.
     
    #734     Jul 15, 2015
    xandman and TraDaToR like this.
  5. Brighton

    Brighton

    Yes, but that's tracking things all the way to contract expiration. I know there's a lot of debate about which roll method and/or roll date to use, but most traders, and probably all small traders, are out by first notice day, two weeks before expiration. Some of the big index funds roll even earlier.
     
    #735     Jul 16, 2015
  6. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Out @ -0.53 for a scratch. Coming back from large losses on biodiesel news + Good support + El Nino + Low oil % share in crush value = Happy being flat.
     
    #736     Jul 17, 2015
  7. xandman

    xandman


    Specifically, I am looking for range contraction for the daily charts in Soybeans for the next month. Not sure about Wheat.

    I have a pet algo that I had to turn off during my move to Illinois. It would have loved a bullish move such as the one we just had. I am totally pissed.
     
    #737     Jul 19, 2015
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  8. Anyone has informations on US wheat harvests ?
    Quality should be fairly low given the amount of rain and yield could be above expcetation.
    French wheat exported to mexico show that US wheat exports are likely to sort all the quality mess. KW-ZW has a strange behaviour.
    A lot of clues, but I have no direct information.
    Do you have any information/articles on this matter ?

    @Brighton
    Indeed we couldnt get this -30, I just wanted to underlinde that KW-ZW is crazy.
     
    #738     Jul 20, 2015
  9. Vyki

    Vyki

    there are harvest reports with progress and quality here
     
    #739     Jul 20, 2015
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  10. Vyki

    Vyki

    AFAIU, decline was because of heavier rains in SRW area, then in HRW area, so as the weather is improving, spread should go higher. Also problems with exports. Export of HRW is -30% comparing to 14/15, of SRW is only -8% (numbers are here at pages 3-4)
     
    #740     Jul 20, 2015