Ag trade ideas

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by TraDaToR, Aug 24, 2014.

  1. you really could have just invoiced my acct this year, would have probably saved us both a headache ha
     
    #2361     Nov 19, 2024
    TraDaToR likes this.
  2. kanellop

    kanellop

  3. you'd think this would push HRW v W lower no?
     
    #2363     Dec 9, 2024
  4. kanellop

    kanellop

    Hello Art.

    Basically, the HRW of Kansas have a positive difference with the CBOT Wheat.

    But i believe that you must see the Fundametals of Wheat.

    By my side, i try to trade the CBOT Wheat because is very liquid in comparison to HRW of Kansas.

    I do not want to make suggestions here but, be very careful when you be Short in Wheat.

    The Wheat with my opinion is the most speculative than other Commodities, for example Gold.

    Kind Regards,

    George Kanellopoulos.
     
    #2364     Dec 9, 2024
  5. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    HRW being the export wheat in the US, I would think a lower exportable supply from Russia would be bullish HRW, but SRW being the "speculator" US wheat, it can actually work the other way.
     
    #2365     Dec 10, 2024
  6. I see, both scenarios make sense. Perfect sell-side response "could be lower, could be higher but worth a trade with us" ha
     
    #2366     Dec 10, 2024
    TraDaToR likes this.
  7. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Something wild is happening on metals spreads. First SI, then GC, PL, PA. Not a fat finger. HG can be next. No news as far as I know, but didn't have time to dig.
     
    #2367     Dec 11, 2024
  8. Are you highlighting calendars in the above? Idk if im seeing what you're seeing. I figured not many trade calendars in most of the metals especial precious metals given storage and funding costs are generally relatively stable?
     
    #2368     Dec 11, 2024
  9. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Yes. Calendar spreads. I got completely smoked by the way. There are some opportunities on copper at times. Silver and gold are pretty stable. You can try to catch a few ticks out of line here and there but no real trades.
     
    #2369     Dec 11, 2024
  10. how many months apart? yield curve steepened a bit today but i doubt that's the driver.
     
    #2370     Dec 11, 2024