Adventures in Trading with a Killer

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Hedge Fund Killer, Apr 20, 2018.

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  1. Short CL @ 65.54.

    Today, I placed my limit order to short CL at 65.54, since it was the 61.8% retracement of the fall from 65.96 to 64.86. The worse that it went against my position was 65.55; that is, I had at worse a floating loss of $10 per contract. See my first graph. I contend that we are in an intermediate wave c going down. A possible target for intermediate wave c is 61.57, assuming that intermediate wave c = intermediate wave a. See my second graph. Note that intermediate wave b was slightly more than the 38.2% retracement of the fall from 72.90 to 65.80. See my third graph. This underscored how strongly bearish CL has become.

    CL 6-6-2018 Minuette Wave 1 and 2.png CL 6-6-2018 Intermediate Wave C Potential Targets.png CL 6-6-2018 Intermediate Wave B.png
     
    #201     Jun 6, 2018
  2. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    failure at the 38% is always a good sign for further weakness. As your lower chart shows. If you look at the long wick just below B, that was both a stop chaser and an indication for lower prices. It had a reversal close or at leased a weak close. But Volume has to spike at that point and I believe it had. Spikes are Turning points as long as weakness shows up in Bar close. after all we are playing with probabilities.
     
    #202     Jun 6, 2018
  3. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Sell Cl 64.97, stop 65.07
     
    #203     Jun 6, 2018
  4. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Out 87, stp cancelled
     
    #204     Jun 6, 2018
  5. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Long ES, 74.25 stop 72.50,

    out at 76.50 stp cancelled. +2.25
     
    #205     Jun 7, 2018
  6. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Early out, I underestimated the momentum. But, can't complain about profits, Better out on the + than the -.
     
    #206     Jun 7, 2018
  7. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    WE are close to resistance here. me thinks.
     
    #207     Jun 7, 2018
  8. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Long ES 67.50, stop 66.50
     
    #208     Jun 7, 2018
  9. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    OUt 68.50. +1
     
    #209     Jun 7, 2018
  10. Zodiac4u

    Zodiac4u

    Long ES soon, but with stops, 38% at 65 and ,618% at 48.
     
    #210     Jun 7, 2018
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