Adventures in the garden of good and evil

Discussion in 'Journals' started by ljyoung, May 30, 2008.

  1. My blade is sharper
    I bleed when I think of it
    I must work harder

    Warui Bozu
     
    #71     Nov 27, 2008
  2. #73     Dec 19, 2008
  3.  
    #74     Dec 19, 2008
  4. Dat be right Dacky. So when you are wrong, get right.

    lj
     
    #75     Dec 19, 2008

  5. True! Part of the game revolves around being right about being wrong.
     
    #76     Dec 20, 2008
  6. So then let me amplify my previous response by saying that this methodology, when you know WTF you are doing with it, allows you to take a small profit when you are wrong and a much larger profit when you then get back on the right side of the move. As Livermore said, "There is only one side to the market and that is the right side'.

    lj
     
    #77     Dec 20, 2008

  7. One more thing. Livermore showed on various occassions that he did not know how to be right about being wrong.

    You really need to know when to quote, Livermore.
     
    #78     Dec 20, 2008
  8. The power of the retrospectroscope is well known. It is never wrong.

    Livermore eventually blew his brains out which would suggest that some things, that some people say are worth listening to sometimes, and not much more. So I'll stand by what I said he said about there being only one side to the market, if only because I am quite sure that he is not the only trader to have come to that conclusion.

    This is not rocket science but rather common market sense.

    As best I can ascertain there was a significant speculative (probabilistic + whatever) component to what he did in the market. Not my cup of tea but there are those who are attracted to his method. I don't happen to be one of them. I have a better one.

    lj
     
    #79     Dec 20, 2008
  9. As of now, IMO, YM says it's not safe (so does ES for that matter).

    lj
     
    #80     Dec 22, 2008