Adventures in Automation

Discussion in 'Journals' started by fan27, Jan 21, 2019.

  1. fan27

    fan27

    My alogs only buy when MES is under its 5 day SMA as they are mean reverting...there are some other criteria as well.
     
    #451     Oct 21, 2021
  2. fan27

    fan27

    October turned out to be my best month on record thanks to the stock trading.

    Performance20211029YTD.JPG Trades20211020YTD.JPG

    Below are my stock trades where I am collecting stats. Some of the entries without an exit date have already exited half of the position (CLR, ICL, SAIA). The trade stats highlighted are calculated as if all of the trades are closed so obviously that will change once the trades are closed. In some trades, I will start off with a half position. If that turns into an immediate loser, the loss percentage will be reduced by half (Adj % Result).

    TradeStats20212029YTD.JPG

    Now, if we were to take those stats and extrapolate them over a series of 100 trades (reasonable amount of trades for one year of trading) with a bet size of account equity of 25%, we would have the following:

    ExampleTradeStats20212029YTD.JPG

    Given this info, the goal is to get optimal mix of trade volume (number of trades) and trade stats. Areas of focus are refining setup identification and trade profit sell rules. Currently, I will sell half of the position if it makes between a 15 to 20% move and trail stop the rest. This can further be refined.
     
    #452     Oct 30, 2021
    comagnum and Laissez Faire like this.
  3. traider

    traider

    Are those automated? I think you said they were discretionary
     
    #453     Oct 30, 2021
  4. fan27

    fan27

    All stock trading is discretionary. I still have my automation running but that is futures (MES). I will create a new journal at the beginning of the year which more accurately describes what I am doing.
     
    #454     Oct 30, 2021
  5. fan27

    fan27

    Exited several trades and halved the position size of others. Bought some micro small cap futures which I anticipate holding through to expiration.

    TradeStats20211105YTD.JPG



    Trades20211105.JPG
     
    #455     Nov 5, 2021
    Snuskpelle likes this.
  6. fan27

    fan27

    Dipped a little this week.

    TradeStats20211112YTD.JPG

    Trades20211112.JPG
     
    #456     Nov 12, 2021
  7. fan27

    fan27

    Took some hits this week. PLUG, TTM and M2K stopped out.

    TradeStats20211120YTD.JPG

    Trades20211120YTD.JPG
     
    #457     Nov 20, 2021
  8. fan27

    fan27

    Brutal week...essentially gave back all of my stock gains over the past couple of months during the current drawdown. Having analyzed all my trades, here is some useful info.

    1. All of my winning trades were from breakouts from consolidation bases of 10 weeks or longer.
    2. Out of the 28 trades, only two were outright losers. Most losers I got "shaken out of" prior to the actual move in my favor.

    As I refine this method, I need to adapt so that I can make buying/selling decisions at the market close or with orders entered when market is closed (with my job it is just not feasible to be monitoring the market during the day).

    The good news is after 2.5 months of trading this style the deficiencies in my current approach are very obvious and easy to correct.

    TradeStats20211127YTD.JPG

    Trades20211127YTD.JPG
     
    #458     Nov 27, 2021
    comagnum, ValeryN and Laissez Faire like this.
  9. traider

    traider

    if you are convinced that your stock selection and entry has edge, you can try hedging out the market beta with short index futures
     
    #459     Nov 27, 2021
    qlai and Laissez Faire like this.
  10. fan27

    fan27

    Interesting. Where I could see this approach especially useful is when the indexes are "over extended".
     
    #460     Nov 27, 2021
    Laissez Faire likes this.