Accurate University Study Predicts Romney Win

Discussion in 'Politics' started by pspr, Aug 23, 2012.

  1. interesting.
     
    #11     Aug 23, 2012
  2. #12     Aug 23, 2012


  3. Adjusting the findings to take account of possible zionism propaganda/influence/bias/etc, the President Obama wins with a landslide.
     
    #13     Aug 23, 2012
  4. #14     Aug 23, 2012
  5. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    #15     Aug 23, 2012
  6. Did these guys actually pick every presidential winner beforehand since 1980 or did they curve fit a system to fit a Romney win :confused:
     
    #16     Aug 23, 2012
  7. pspr

    pspr

    You're an idiot. The guy just started that site in 2008 and primarily polls democrap primaries. He also posted for the Daily Kos in addition to the NYT.

    Don't through your bullshit out as legitimate, fool.

    In November 2007, while still working for Baseball Prospectus, Silver began to write about politics, specifically the 2008 U.S. Presidential race. Until the end of May 2008, this writing was under the pseudonym "Poblano" and appeared on Daily Kos or on his blog FiveThirtyEight.com, which he launched in March 2008.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver
     
    #17     Aug 23, 2012
  8. pspr

    pspr

    Or being a foreign black student.
     
    #18     Aug 23, 2012
  9. Good question...

    It's probably a statistical model, but I doubt that it's curve-fit to a Romney win. The model is being published in a peer-reviewed journal. The first thing they'd look at is whether or not the model capitalizes on sampling error or is fit to the data to produce any particular outcome. Every journal has a couple of gearheads on the review committee whose job it is to obliterate researchers' mathematical/statistical models. If the model cheats the data, the publication will kill the article before it appears in print and they're made to look like jerks in front of the whole world. (At least, that's how it's supposed to work.)

    That said, the authors are college professors as are the people who review the journals. I've known many personally and a large percentage of them are complete idiots.

    The only way we'll know for sure is to read the article for ourselves when it comes out later this month.
     
    #19     Aug 23, 2012
  10. pspr

    pspr

    The University of Colorado is pretty liberal. I've spent a lot of time in Boulder - Beautiful town but can't stand the people there. It's not quite Berkley but close.
     
    #20     Aug 23, 2012