Dear all, some stocks express high volas and volume in stock and options. Eventually these stocks are great vehicles to trade. For that reason I made my top list today. In addition I added wheather I see buy or sell signals based on daily closing prices. This is intended to watch, learn and papertrade and get your comments. Here ist the list with the signals: AAPL Buy at 65.00 GOOG
sorry, I hit the submit button too early... GOOG Sell 340 ELN Buy 15 SNDK Buy 60 RMBS Sell 36 RIMM Buy 86 AMD Sell 34 PALM Buy 21 JDSU Sell 3.75 SIRI Sell 4.75 Each stock has max. 10 percent share. Generally hard stopps are set at 20 percent from entry. Short selling is possible. For example: Portfolio (Papertrading) is 100.000 Max. single position is 10.000 10 percent loss is 1.000; 20 percent is 2.000 In that case your risk tolerance is 2.000 per postion. But let's see how to manage trades better in this journal. A signal always has a 'stopp and reverse' level on closing basis, which I will share, when you are interested. gg12
We have a nice upcoming signal at PALM. Buy, when close is above 21. (Shorts need to be covered). Gaphics is attached. All other Symbols are unchanged. 01 AAPL Downtrend; Up at 65 02 GOOG Uptrend; Down at 340 03 ELN Downtrend; Up at 15 04 SNDK Downtrend; Up at 60 05 RMBS Uptrend; Down at 36 06 RIMM Downtrend; Up 86 07 AMD Uptrend; Down 34 08 PALM CHANGE IN TREND POSSIBLE! 09 JDSU Uptrend; Down 3.75 10 SIRI Uptrend; Down 4.75 Any comment from your side?
Following Notifications: PALM has not been bought. Wait for 21 to be crossed to the upside! Watch RIMM! RIMM is in a downtrend. If the issue closes below 82, you will have a better entry for possible long positions at 84 (down from 86). For AMD I expect the short trigger today. Don't act before 34 is crossed down on a closing basis.
Two Trades on closings (03/30 AMD, 03/29 PALM): AMD short, since 34 has been crossed down PALM long, since 21 has been crossed up (sorry for the late posting, Signal happend the day before yesterday) Initial hard stops 20% away from entry. Postiions size 10.000. Four new established trigger levels: AMD long above 36 (position will be closed and longs will be established) PALM short (reverse) below 21 GOOG short below 360 RMBS short below 38
STOCKSVIEW #1 for 25 issues Summary Postions/Transactions: 01 PALM long, 21 crossed up 03/29 02 AMD short, 34 crossed down 03/30 Update Triggers: PALM has a new downside trigger (please see graphics attached) Summary Triggers: 01 AAPL Downtrend; Up at 65 02 GOOG Uptrend; Down at 360 03 ELN Downtrend; Up at 15 04 SNDK Downtrend; Up at 60 05 RMBS Uptrend; Down at 38 06 RIMM Downtrend; Up 86 07 AMD Downtrend; Up 36 08 PALM Uptrend; Down 22; NEW! 09 JDSU Uptrend; Down 3.75 10 SIRI Uptrend; Down 4.75 To get more signals I expand the list today to 25 issues. 11 NEW Downtrend; Up at 48 12 LVLT Uptrend; Down at 5.0 13 LU Uptrend; Down at 2.9 14 BRCM Downtrend; Up at 46 15 NVDA Uptrend; Down at 54 16 TXN Uptrend; Down at 32 17 TIVO Uptrend; Down at 7.0 18 CEPH Downtrend; Up at 62 19 RHAT Downtrend; UP at 29 20 AMR Uptrend; Down at 26 21 XMST Uptrend; Down at 21 22 MRVL Uptrend; Down at 54 23 NTES Uptrend; Down at 23 24 JNPR Downtrend; Up at 20 25 SYMC Uptrend; Down at 16 That closes the list until June, 30th. To be consistent with my rules stated at the beginning I add 150.000 to (virtual) capital. Each position covers max. 10.000 at the opening. To better allow navigation I have added numbers for my post, starting to today with #1. Remarks welcome.
cnms2, thank you for asking! You are right. I need to better define what the meaning of "trend" is. In the context of this system a trend is established just by the direction of the last segment. I look only at daily closing prices in a defined grid. I don't need memory out of long term price activity, i.e. during the last 12 month. For the example PALM we had a downtrend below 20 but then 21 was crossed up on a closing base - which has made the "Uptrend". I have added a graphics to show the principle. If nothing changes the trend continues to be up and we are riding it until it changes... The only event which makes a downturn is when PALM falls "Down" thought 22 on a closing. Intraday movement doesn't count here. In that case PALM will be sold and short positions will be established (reverse position). But if you want limit your risk to 20% you are eventually proteced against big intraday movement. Since PALM was already above 23 the calculation for the stop would be: 23 * 0.8 (-20%) = 18.4 18.4 can be used as a gtc order. If PALM reaches 24 on a closing base the new stop would be 19.2 (24 * .8) and so on. gg12
STOCKSVIEW #2 for 25 issues We have a new short position with LVLT Sold today @ 4.87 close because of crossing 5.0 down. 10000 / 4.87 = 2000 shares (exact 2053.38; rounded down) Summary Postions/Transactions: 01 PALM long, 21 crossed up 03/29 02 AMD short, 34 crossed down 03/30 03 LVLT short, 5.0 crossed down 04/03 Summary Triggers: 01 AAPL Downtrend; Up at 65 02 GOOG Uptrend; Down at 360 03 ELN Downtrend; Up at 15 04 SNDK Downtrend; Up at 60 05 RMBS Uptrend; Down at 38 06 RIMM Downtrend; Up 86 07 AMD Downtrend; Up 36 08 PALM Uptrend; Down 22 09 JDSU Uptrend; Down 3.75 10 SIRI Uptrend; Down 4.75 11 NEW Downtrend; Up at 48 12 LVLT Downtrend; Up at 5.5; NEW! 13 LU Uptrend; Down at 2.9 14 BRCM Downtrend; Up at 46 15 NVDA Uptrend; Down at 54 16 TXN Uptrend; Down at 32 17 TIVO Uptrend; Down at 7.0 18 CEPH Downtrend; Up at 62 19 RHAT Downtrend; UP at 29 20 AMR Uptrend; Down at 26 21 XMST Uptrend; Down at 21 22 MRVL Uptrend; Down at 54 23 NTES Uptrend; Down at 23 24 JNPR Downtrend; Up at 20 25 SYMC Uptrend; Down at 16