From Stanford Business: A new working paper by Neil Malhotra of Stanford's Graduate School of Business, and David Rothschild of Microsoft Research, shows that some voters do, in fact, switch sides in an effort to feel accepted and to be part of a winning team. But the paper also concludes that greater numbers of voters are searching for the "wisdom of crowds" when they evaluate poll results, and that the opinion of experts matters more to them than that of their peers. The researchers asked a selected group of voters to state their opinions on a variety of real public policy questions, and then presented them with fabricated poll results on the same topics. When the test subjects learned that a large number of experts favored a position, opinions shifted by 11.3%. But the "opinions of people like me" changed opinions by just 6.2%, while a general poll saying that a majority of people favored one side or the other moved the needle by 8.1%. https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/how-polls-influence-behavior
If you want to know who will win a presidential election,national head to head polls tell you with 80% accuracy. If you want to know who will win a presidential election,approval ratings polls tell you with 100% accuracy. If you want to know who will win the popular vote,approval ratings and national head to head polls tell you with 100% accuracy. If you want to know the exact margin a candidate will win by,polls wont tell you,nothing will . For me,I just want to know who will win.
Out of 50 states aggregate polling got 2 states wrong,Georgia and FL,or 96% correct. I guess when it comes to Trump supporting idiots 96% is bad.
I'm very surprise he got that many votes when the approval ratings show he should not have gotten that many votes. Thus, one can argue that maybe there was fraud on Trump side of the election to give him more votes as if he had higher approval ratings. wrbtrader
I agree.With Bidens lead in head to head polls,Trumps low approval ratings,losing the popular vote by 3 million votes in 2016 and losing 2018 by 10 million votes his vote total is very suspicious.
The more posts you make, the stupider you sound... If that’s possible. Polls were so off in 2020. Completely off. You can cherry pick all you want. These losers and you losers who quote them have no clue.
Tony Stark is THAT guy sitting at the end of your local bar. That guy whose every argument is "Yea, but".