A simple but not easy question -- What is trend?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mythseason, Oct 17, 2008.

  1. bluelou

    bluelou

    Trend is not a slang term. Trendiness can be anti-persistent, random or persistent. Trendiness is found in the presence of a power-law decay of the autocorrelation function of a time series.

    Anyone pursuing a trend-following strategy that does not differentiate b/t these regimes and does not adjust for time-varying volatility/irregularity is hurting their performance.
     
    #21     Oct 26, 2008
  2. =====================
    Myseason;

    A tradeable move you can measure;
    for example, 50 day moving average ,takes 50 days...

    You can measure noise, or two raindrops;
    but i wouldnt call it a trend.
    A trend is that which is easier to id, than trade,LOL

    If you cant find a high probability way to measure a bear market or a down trend;
    maybe you could find a high probibility way of measuring a countertrend, in a bear market[bear rally].Not that a counter-trend is as useful as a trend, but still useful perhaps......... :cool:
     
    #22     Nov 13, 2008
  3. after closing time if u see chart u will find very good trend.but in live market its seems like wild animal runing here and there and every body try to findout where this animal will go
     
    #23     Mar 27, 2009
  4. You may find multiple trends in multiple time frames, but strong order flow is ultimatly what you're looking for.

    When multiple time frames from 1 to 20 days confirm a directional bias, you can expect strong follow through. Understanding the buying/selling pressure at such a point in time will give you the ‘edge’ you need to bet big and go the distance. And isn't that what we're really talking about???:cool:
     
    #24     Mar 28, 2009
  5. +1
     
    #25     Mar 29, 2009
  6. Cutten

    Cutten

    A trend is a tendency to go in a certain direction.
     
    #26     Mar 29, 2009