A scalper invitation to scalpers

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Incognito, Jun 20, 2008.

  1. John47

    John47

    Thats what I do :) w/ a group of locals there are probably 30 of us. Like someone said, you have to either be w/ a group of have membership. I don't think there are many similar shops, just a few considering its a type of trading that requires unbelievable commitment to learn to do well.
     
    #41     Jun 21, 2008
  2. womblevader,

    There are many ways to determine S/R. There are also many different level S/R at different time frame. Since I'm an intraday swing trader, I'm looking at S/R levels pertinent to intraday swing. These points are:

    Swing high/low, high/low of day, globex high/low, quarter line (25%, 50%, 75%), trendline touch area, round numbers.

    I don't look at commonly used floor pivots. I find it little value in my trading. I also find I don't need to pay more attention to Fib levels once I have the above.

    BTW, I trade mostly NQ. I can't speak of other instruments. I do notice each instrument has its own personality. I can't figure out the S/R level in ER2 as well as in NQ.
     
    #42     Jun 21, 2008
  3. Cutten

    Cutten

    *Sigh* more narrow-mindedness. Why do people have to automatically dismiss things that don't suit them? Trading for ticks can make a very high income with minimal risk, if you find the right market or stock for it. Something which can make healthy 6 or even low 7 figures per annum, with 90%+ winning days and small drawdowns, cannot be dismissed so flippantly.
     
    #43     Jun 21, 2008
  4. Cutten

    Cutten

    Scalping is a market 50.12 bid, 50.18 offered, the ES moves up and you go 13 bid, get hit, and offer out at 17, 18, 19 or whatever.

    Basically you need a healthy bid/ask spread to overcome commissions and losers. Low fees are kinda important. If you are buying at 13 and the market turns down, normally you can scratch or exit at 12, 11 etc. Slippage isn't usually a factor since you are taking the other side of the typical investor/trader's slippage.

    What you described I would describe as "intraday trading". It's a better topic for discussion IMO since real scalping doesn't really have much to discuss, it's kinda brainless. Most good scalpers also do intraday swing trades and that's a good chunk, if not the majority of their profits.
     
    #44     Jun 21, 2008
  5. Cutten

    Cutten

    Here's some tactics I use for intraday swings:

    1) Relative strength/weakness:

    Look at several related markets e.g. ES/NQ/YM; T-bond, T-note, 2-year; CL/NG etc. Sometimes you will notice one of them is acting stronger (or weaker) than the others. The rallies will be bigger and faster, the dips will be shallower, it will lead the next up move by breaking out first etc. What you do is concentrate on long setups in that market - so if the complex is pulling back, you buy the (mild) dip in the strong market. A particular refinement of this is if the markets are testing a support level, usually the weaker markets will make a new low, whereas the stronger market will sometimes not actually penetrate that low. You buy the strong market when it is a bit above the low and the other markets have broken it. This gives you a close stop and usually pretty good odds of catching a reversal. You can also try spreading the strong vs weak markets, although I prefer outrights.

    2) Strong reversals.

    Example: the market is in a powerful downtrend, having pullbacks but mostly they are fairly shallow and quickly fail. Eventually the trend will experience a much bigger counter-trend move, with far more powerful buying, and which goes a lot higher than normal trend pullbacks. Now you have your setup - wait for that strong pullback to reverse, and buy at the 40-60% retracement area. E.g. if the ES falls from 1350 to 1336, with 2-3 point retracements, then you get a move from 1336 to 1344, you would look to buy within a point or so of the 1340 level. Your stop is the prior low. Sometimes the retest will go close to the lows, here I like to double up (keeping a stop close at new lows). If this trade works you can often catch a *large* subsequent new trend, getting in near the beginning of it.

    3) Fading capitulation.

    I don't know of any objective way to identify capitulation, but with experience you can normally recognise it. Usually it occurs after a fairly large, strong move, often one that has either just broken an important high or low (e.g. high of the week, yesterday's high etc) and then moved far enough to make everyone fading the move give up and cover; or a move that has gone parabolic and seen a major acceleration in price change. You need to be able to sense that "give up". Sometimes it occurs in conjunction with stops being triggered. If you have a position already, you must exit here, and it is usually a great reversal setup too. You can either try and "anticipate" the reversal, and average in (requires good timing, patience to avoid entering too early, and some balls) or wait for the reversal, then hop on board the new trend (easier with less risk but less profit-potential).

    4) Riding powerful intraday trends.

    Most days aren't trend days, so this is a less common strategy. You want to see obvious evidence of much more powerful buying (or selling) than normal. High volume, big bids lifting the offer etc. Then, just hop on board and use a much wider than normal stop. Buy more on all normal retracements, and stay long your core position (you can exit some at new highs if the move gets extended, just to reduce risk & book profits) until you get capitulation. It is a bit like an intraday version of trading a long-term bull market. The key is to identify the unusually powerful underlying strength, and then have sufficient balls/conviction to buy more into all normal dips, and not just exit for the sake of it. In the ES, days with this action are usually 20-30 point moves or more.

    5) Trading news

    This can be a bit tricky, but you can employ all the techniques above and overlay it with the news that has just come out. News, especially if a surprise, will often trigger a large trend and/or a major reversal. Particularly useful are when you get bullish news but the market rally quickly fails, then moves back significantly *below* the price before the bullish news came out. This indicators a "buy the rumour, sell the news" reaction and will often result in a BIG move down. Just use your typical trend-following approach (MAs or whatever) and hold on to the close if you do not get any exit signal.

    So, those are my main tactics for intraday. I have found that trying to "guess" direction, use normal indicators, or all the other favourite approaches just don't work. Either they lose outright, or you breakeven minus commissions. I prefer to wait for the higher probability setups.
     
    #45     Jun 21, 2008
  6. This ET where people automatically dismiss things that they DO NOT understand.

    regards
    f9
     
    #46     Jun 21, 2008
  7. bighog

    bighog Guest

    Cutten You are as bad as any new poster. Scalpeing in the true definition of the term as used in the mkts does not mean retail customers can BUY the BID and SELL the ASK and make the spread. It just makes sense that any trader that just trades for a tick here or a tick there is a loser because he/she has not developed a winning way to trade for the intraday "RUNS". To trade for a few ticks here or there is really nothing but throwing darts and hoping for the best because MOST of the price action intraday is simple "NOISE". trading "NOISE"is a losing strategy, plain and simple. Commission costs and the slightest lapse in discipline or a FAST mkt move against the trader and he/she is toast for the day.

    Even professional mkt makers get chewed to bits on one-way days. Tick buffing is a flawed strategy. -last post on the subject, because i know what i am saying.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/scalpers.asp
     
    #47     Jun 21, 2008
  8. bespoke

    bespoke

    I know prop traders who make 6-7 figures who aim at only taking 1-2 cents. Just because you don't doesn't mean they don't exist.

    I run a few automated strategies and my most consistent performer is the scalping one. Trades that last 0-5 seconds taking pennies. And a couple of times a day you get one that just runs. So small losers, break evens, small winners, and a couple of big winners and 80%+ profitable trades. What more can you ask for? I can't even recall that last time that one strategy had a losing day.

    The downside: a cap because of liquidity/slippage
     
    #48     Jun 21, 2008
  9. Incognito, welcome to ET! I encourage you to start a thread in Journals. Magna does a magna-ficent job of moderating, and that's where the more serious and long-running efforts are located. I scalp NQ when I am not on assignment and will be happy to join in the commentary. I already occasionally post execution reports just for fun without explanation in a thread there. And I know from PMs and prior NQ threads that there are several other NQ traders here. Best regards.
     
    #49     Jun 21, 2008
  10. jem

    jem

    cutten - that was a very nice job of explaining some of the most viable concepts.
     
    #50     Jun 21, 2008