I learn much from this interview from a proven succesful trader. I wish the same benefits for you. How to overcome cognative biases. Enjoy!!! http://toptradersunplugged.com/roy-...nt-how-to-overcome-cognitive-bias-in-trading/
This guy has fixed income wired up... great explanation of roll yield and it's influence on being long interest rates..
Interesting read so far. thanks I still find it odd that so many don't allow for the understanding that charts can be used a graphical displays of statistical work.
I think he is speaking generally.... We aren't built to stare at a chart and become great predictors.. We are built to see a lion in the grass... not an impeding sell off of a particular magnitude.. That doesn't mean people can't do it...
the guy is saying QE has had a suppressing effect on vols... so that should sort of give you a clue as to what is going on now..