• Foreclosures Filings in U.S. Surpass 300,000 for Eighth Consecutive Month

Discussion in 'Economics' started by ByLoSellHi, Nov 12, 2009.

  1. Only 3,600,000 for the year! Green shoots!

    Add these to the 18.5 million vacant/foreclosed homes in the U.S., already!

    •Foreclosures Filings in U.S. Surpass 300,000 for Eighth Consecutive Month


    U.S. Foreclosure Filings Surpass 300,000 for 8th Straight Month
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    By Dan Levy

    Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) --
    U.S. foreclosure filings surpassed 300,000 for an eighth straight month as unemployment made it tougher for homeowners to pay their bills, RealtyTrac Inc. said.

    A total of 332,292 properties received a default or auction notice or were seized by banks in October, up 19 percent from a year earlier, Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac said today. One in every 385 households received a filing. The tally fell 3 percent from September, the third consecutive monthly decline.

    “The foreclosure problem is still with us and will keep prices down,” Stephen Miller, chairman of the economics department at the University of Nevada at Las Vegas, said in an interview. “The real issue is we don’t know what inventory banks are holding that they have yet to put on the market.”

    Distressed real estate transactions accounted for 30 percent of all home sales in the third quarter as the median price fell 11 percent from a year earlier to $177,900, according to the National Association of Realtors. U.S. unemployment surged to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October as payrolls fell by 190,000 workers, the Labor Department said last week.

    Housing will reach a bottom by March 2010, with lower- priced properties recovering value more quickly than expensive homes, First American CoreLogic said last month.

    “The fundamental forces driving foreclosure activity in this housing downturn -- high-risk mortgages, negative equity, and unemployment -- continue to loom over any nascent recovery,” James Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac, said in the statement. “We continue to see foreclosure activity levels that are substantially higher than a year ago in most states.”

    RealtyTrac sells default data collected from more than 2,200 counties representing 90 percent of the U.S. population.

    Coming on Market

    About 7 million properties likely to be seized by lenders haven’t yet hit the market, Amherst Securities Group Managing Director Laurie Goodman wrote in a Sept. 23 report.

    Housing indicators that show price increases in some areas of the U.S. are being distorted by government efforts to reduce foreclosures, which are temporarily limiting sales of seized homes, said Scott Simon, managing director at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California.

    “Part of that is the back end of the foreclosure moratoriums and people trying to work through modifications” of their home loans, Simon said in an interview. “At some point, these have to come through the pipeline.”

    Nevada had the highest foreclosure rate for the 34th consecutive month, with one in 80 households receiving a filing. The number of filings fell 4 percent from the previous year, the first year-over-year decrease since January 2006. The total declined 26 percent from September.

    California, Florida

    California ranked second, with filings for one in every 156 households. Florida was third, at one in 168, RealtyTrac said.

    Arizona, Idaho, Illinois, Michigan, Georgia, Maryland and Utah rounded out the top 10 highest foreclosure rates.

    California led in total filings, with 85,420, up 50 percent from a year earlier. Default notices in the most populous state more than doubled and auction notices rose 73 percent, according to RealtyTrac.

    Florida ranked second with 51,911 filings, down 4 percent from October 2008, the first year-over-year decrease since July 2006. Filings fell 6 percent from the previous month.

    Illinois was third at 19,946, up 57 percent year-on-year and 56 percent from September, making it the only state with a foreclosure rate in the top 10 to have a monthly gain in filings. The total for Illinois was the highest in RealtyTrac records dating to January 2005.

    Michigan ranked fourth with 16,468, up about 45 percent from a year earlier, RealtyTrac said.

    Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Texas, Ohio and New Jersey completed the 10 states with the most filings.

    East Coast

    Filings fell 12 percent from a year earlier in New Jersey, which had the 13th highest rate. They dropped 26 percent to 2,306 in Connecticut, and rose 28 percent to 4,797 in New York.

    Las Vegas had the highest foreclosure rate among metropolitan areas with populations of 200,000 or more. One in every 68 households got a notice, more than five times the national average. Even so, filings decreased 27 percent from September.

    California had seven cities among the top 10. Vallejo- Fairfield ranked second and Modesto was third, both with a rate of one in 81 households. Riverside-San Bernardino was fourth and Bakersfield, Merced and Stockton ranked sixth through eighth, respectively. Sacramento came in 10th.

    Cape Coral-Fort Myers and Orlando-Kissimmee, both in Florida, ranked fifth and ninth, respectively.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Dan Levy in San Francisco at dlevy13@bloomberg.net.
    Last Updated: November 12, 2009 00:00 EST
  2. MattF


    Just got another couple of vacants out and about today! Mail 'em back and let the bank take it...or just leave.

    Got a few more that should happen soon.

    Meanwhile, new delinquents have popped in to replace them...it just keeps on going.
  3. new$


  4. Housing is nowhere near a bottom as homeowners realize they are under water, would have to come up with buku cash assuming they could sell their home at any price, and the general consensus among the public is that houses can no longer be regarded as an ATM machine to be leveraged to buy shit, and saved by appreciation.

    Also, credit is still too tight, as evidenced by the disproportionate share of homes financed by the FHA with its 3.5% down policy.

    Look for 2010 to be the year of the bloodbath for foreclosed homes, hotels, shopping malls, office buildings and industrial buildings.

    It's going to be absolutely brutal.
  5. MattF


    Being underwater for some is apparently fine because they have no intentions of selling and plan on staying...it's just once they fall behind on payments and can't meet things anymore do they truly realize it's better to jump ship.
  6. Take FL, CA, NV, and AZ out of the mix and you've got a fairly well-functioning and normal residential re market going on.
  7. Banjo


    Matt, what part of the country , state, are you in?
  8. MattF



    Higher priced in the NE.

    I've seen plenty of people underwater falling behind as I run routes to remind them to call their lenders :D

    Bought either low and OK or at the peak and overpaid. The former they refinanced to the hilt (2 and sometimes 3 mortgages). Latter are out of it since home values did drop a ways.

    Most people have owned their homes an average of 3-5 years. I'm starting to see a few more longer term ones probably due to job loss/income cuts or whatever have you.

    As I said above, I think a lot of people either don't know or don't care too much that they are underwater...sure they can't refi or grab more money out of the home, but they also have no intentions of selling anytime soon (5 years bare minimum), can still at least pay on the mortgage(s) OK and don't WANT to move elsewhere. But they're screwed when something happens that'll force them to sell or they can't meet existing payments anymore.

    As for prices up here, it goes anywhere from the hilltowns of 100-150K max, up to the suburbs of the 2, 250, 300K. And the ritzier spots where it's an easy 4-500K.