Continuing the thought, as a Doomsday thought experiment enthusiast, I realize that it wouldn't take a very big disruption to make currency and checks and credit cards and electronic money and promises to pay irrelevant. Commodimetrics is simply barter writ small. Writ large, I do not have a pool, but my good neighbor does. I have emergency water filtration gear. He does not. He is over-the-top heavy in ammo for his AK, I am heavy in AR. He doesn't own a 22. There aren't enough squirrels to service my inventory. He has no gas or propane reserve. I do. The list of everyday needs is long. Being good neighbors, we will share generously and without thought to relative values. The rest of unprepared not so good neighbors will pay dearly in barter. If you're a lush, and you run out, how much do you think you will give for a pint of Everclear? You have a small child, and no mulitivitamins? Your alkaline batteries die and you have no rechargeables? "How much of my champagne do you want for a month's supply of you vitamins?" In such an environment unfeedable children will be sold for an ounce of silver. That out of date half used bottle of amoxicillin for an ounce of gold. But we digress. Silver is still a buy.
I was drinking the last of my 100% purified ethanol, when it suddenly hit me: How about a commodimetric approach to trade the platinum-gold spread?. The ETFs specifically.:eek:
You are exceedingly clever. But only by half. Platinumb and gold writhe so tightly together in their sweaty tangled aggressively erotic embrace that the Subtle Science of Commodimetrics cannot predict platinium's inflection points. However, Commodimetrics does predict palladium's turns, a result I will publish if and when I ever figure out why any one would ever want to own palladium. Come Apocalyptic Armageddon, I have difficulty imagining myself hawking paradium at a flea market. Guns would move far better. BTW, if you have mentally remarked on the febrile nature of my posting, I quit drinking two weeks ago and it is slowly killing me. My system does not want to run on food and water. They don't run cars on that, do they?
This is actually similar to what I do, although I consider relative rate of change over valuation. I.e., how soon are my Hershey bars going to rope me a threesome rather than just the overweight, natty housewife in the corner. Very interesting.
I wish I were as smart as you are. What I do is glance at the attached chart collage occasionally to form a gestalt on what the fuck is or isn't going on. I think that's where Commodimetrics came from. It's also kind of a real-time flow of funds.
Ah yes, I have a page tracking the relative strength of a fat load of symbols as well, but I've found my subconscious cannot synthesize a gestalt from it. I use it only to generate ideas, which are siphoned off and tested. Perhaps like intradaybill's Glitch Mob code generation, but in wetware, except mine doesn't work. I mentioned before that I think your subconscious pattern recognition skills are unusually well attuned, which is probably why you gravitate toward your own approach. Hm... maybe Sibelius was the wrong metaphor. However, if I might throw out a suggestion, give the <a href="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=170318&highlight=ACD">ACD thread</a> a read. It's the one single area of ET that has given me fertile ideas on how to visualize changes in volatility -- might supplement what you're doing.