A Brief History of my Strategy Development

Discussion in 'Journals' started by fairvalue, Jan 21, 2020.

  1. fairvalue

    fairvalue

    appreciate your finger pointing. I take my time to think it through and share the thoughts related to an example based on your comment.
     
    #11     Jan 24, 2020
  2. fairvalue

    fairvalue

    Thank you again. I took my time: Thoughts related were, that counter measures are necessary, if the inital trading setup doesnt work out.

    Besides I am doing a manuel backtesting. I know that is prone to hindsight and thelike but relying on strict parameters - not to trick myself. This is a process and like I don't programm code today like I did 7 years before I know I wont do backtesting in the future like I do it know. But I feel this is a good way to start things and to work it through. Thoughts always welcome.
    Having a closer look to backtest setups where setup DOENST work out ... and all writing down im my backtest journal.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2020
    #12     Jan 29, 2020
  3. fairvalue

    fairvalue

    So I added a counter measure plan. Here comes a live paper trade (wooo), I would take.

    • Complying with my set of Rules
    • Added a Counter Strategy
    What I can see here:
    • daily looks messy but weekly shows me, that is no trend but a range
    • on the weekly i spot this as a support area
    • daily: on the left I see some Hammers and candles with long wigs down. These represent to me possible resistance on the move up
    • anyhow, price is cheap
    • I would expect, this setup to fail in the first place, but to be successfull in a second attemp - let see =)

    pix.png
     
    #13     Jan 29, 2020
  4. fairvalue

    fairvalue

    What still confuses me:
    • that correction comes in waves of downturn (red) and upturn (green) moves (from the High in the chart of the Inverted Hammer).
    • That downturn moves seem to loose momentum, but then suddently that immense red candle emerges
    • Also a tiny Hammer is able to stop that downturn AND to close (or will, not yet and of trading) green.
    • So who is in charge? Who controls and why? I figure that out and will come up with a explanation, that makes sense for me =)
     
    #14     Jan 29, 2020