A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. snake

    snake

    Puddles, what's your overall win rate since you've been doing this?

    And, why did you make the decision to trade in a different style than geez? You're doing more breakouts, where he was doing reverals. Just curious.

    Cheers.
     
    #2971     Dec 1, 2010
  2. 15:32

    SHORT RIMM 61.89
    STOP 62.01
    TGT 61.65

    just got back in front of the screens, might be late on this selloff..
     
    #2972     Dec 1, 2010
  3. as of today, 44.5% since i started this journal..

    i havn't really changed my style up, i still look for reversals on extended stocks but i havn't had many on my radar in a long while.

    geez and i talk through trades through the day so I don't think I'm differing from his style too much. :)
     
    #2973     Dec 1, 2010
  4. out -0.13
     
    #2974     Dec 1, 2010
  5. snake

    snake

    44.5% is fantastic. Nice work!!! With this strategy, 44.5% is extremely profitable.

    Do you have monthly or weekly stats you could post on your win rate?

    Glad you kept this going (both the trading and the journal), I really enjoy reading even though I don't always have the time to follow it regularly.

    Keep up the nice work.
     
    #2975     Dec 1, 2010
  6. may 17-14 (54.84%)
    june 30-46 (39.47%)
    july 31-35 (46.97%)
    august 49-54 (47.57%)
    september 34-31 (52.31%)
    october 36-58 (38.30%)
    november 35-51 (40.70%)

    232-289 overall not counting today.
     
    #2976     Dec 1, 2010
  7. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101201/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101201/mos.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101201/rimm.png">

    10:19

    SHORT MOS 66.76
    STOP 67.02
    TGT 66.24

    - Market gaps up like a monster
    - MOS gap and crap
    - I was a little concerned about shorting in such a strong market but the 10am #s failed to impress
    - out +0.51

    15:32

    SHORT RIMM 61.89
    STOP 62.01
    TGT 61.65

    - Was out of the house all day and return home SPY being flat and RIMM being super weak
    - Short the tight lower high, set the stop above the round # instead of above the bar
    - ticked out, would have been fine if i used the # above the bar

    out -0.13

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/12/01/2010-12-01-trades/
     
    #2977     Dec 1, 2010
  8. Coudy

    Coudy

    Puddles: Few times you have tried to add to winning position (average up).
    Do you (Puddles+geez) have any statistics, if adding to winning position is better than the exit at fixed 2R level? Thank you.
     
    #2978     Dec 2, 2010
  9. I do it so rarely that my sample size wouldn't be significant..
     
    #2979     Dec 2, 2010
  10. 9:40

    LONG CCJ 38.01
    STOP 37.92
    TGT 38.19
     
    #2980     Dec 2, 2010