A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. out +0.43

    10:25

    SHORT WMT 53.76
    STOP 53.87
    TGT 53.54
     
    #2931     Nov 17, 2010
  2. 10:53

    LONG AKAM 48.64
    STOP 48.47

    out -0.18
     
    #2932     Nov 17, 2010
  3. adding half size, whole trade becomes..

    11:33

    SHORT WMT 53.64
    STOP 53.71
    TGT 52.5
     
    #2933     Nov 17, 2010
  4. bah, just ticked out

    out +0.05 on front 2/3, out -0.07 on back 1/3. little green after commish, counting as a b/e trade.
     
    #2934     Nov 17, 2010
  5. 14:42

    LONG MCK 64.86
    STOP 64.77
    TGT 65.04

    out -0.09

    14:54

    SHORT FSLR 123.89
    STOP 124.08
    TGT 123.51

    out -0.25
     
    #2935     Nov 17, 2010
  6. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/mos.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/ibm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/wmt.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/akam.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/mck.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/fslr.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101117/fcx.png">

    9:57

    (2min play)
    LONG MOS 67.21
    STOP 66.99
    TGT 67.65

    - MOS didn't sell off as hard as SPY after the open
    - Look to get long as SPY hits it's highs
    - out +0.43

    10:11

    SHORT IBM 141.73
    STOP 141.93
    TGT 141.33

    - Weak from the open
    - Ranging at the lows while SPY is making highs
    - out -0.23


    10:25

    SHORT WMT 53.76
    STOP 53.87
    TGT 53.54

    - Clean weakness from the open
    - see next trade

    11:33

    adding half
    SHORT WMT 53.64
    STOP 53.71
    TGT 52.5

    - WMT seems to slowly leg down, add on half, move all stops/tgts
    - out +0.05 on front 2/3, out -0.07 on back 1/3

    10:53

    LONG AKAM 48.64
    STOP 48.47


    - Clean strength from the open
    - I passed on this earlier as I wasn't sure it would get through yesterdays high
    - Chased it
    - out -0.18

    14:42

    LONG MCK 64.86
    STOP 64.77
    TGT 65.04

    - From noon on MCK very strong making new highs
    - SPY drifting lower since noon
    - out -0.09

    14:54

    SHORT FSLR 123.89
    STOP 124.08
    TGT 123.51

    - Playing the break of 124.00 support
    - Cheated on the stop (top of entry bar)
    - out -0.25 (10 minutes early it seems)

    15:43

    SHORT FCX 96.75
    STOP 96.9

    - Entire market sells off, SPY puts in a huge bounce off the lows
    - FCX no bounce
    - out -0.25

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/17/2010-11-17-trades/
     
    #2936     Nov 17, 2010
  7. chasing entries.. not good.

    10:02

    SHORT HGSI 24.09
    STOP 24.23
    TGT 23.81

    out -0.15

    10:16

    LONG WYNN 110.27
    STOP 109.99
    TGT 110.83

    out -0.29

    10:28

    LONG AKAM 49.14
    STOP 48.99
    TGT 49.44

    out -0.18
     
    #2937     Nov 18, 2010
  8. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/hgsi.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/wynn.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101118/akam.png">

    10:02

    (2min play)
    SHORT HGSI 24.09
    STOP 24.23
    TGT 23.81

    - One of the few stocks to gap down
    - Probably shouldnt' be shorting in a market so strong
    - out -0.15

    10:16

    LONG WYNN 110.27
    STOP 109.99
    TGT 110.83

    - Tryign to chase the SPY breakout
    - out -0.29

    10:28

    LONG AKAM 49.14
    STOP 48.99
    TGT 49.44

    - SPY pull back after 3 big bars after 10am
    - AKAM keeps moving, look for continuation
    - out -0.18

    Bought 2 tops today, impressive...

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/18/2010-11-18-trades/
     
    #2938     Nov 18, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/bp.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/v.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/gs.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/hum.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/wlp.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101119/ntap.png">

    9:50

    (2min play)
    SHORT BP 41.44
    STOP 41.51
    TGT 41.3

    - Gap down and weak with market
    - tight lower high
    - got 2c from tgt..
    - out b/e

    10:12

    (2min play)
    LONG V 77.41
    STOP 77.33
    TGT 55.57

    - V strong from the open in a very weak market..
    - Look to get long as SPY appears to be bouncing off the lows at 10am
    - 1c from tgt, was on the phone so i forgot to move the stop
    - Also shouldn't have been using 2min charts past 10am (again, cuz of phone call)
    - Counting as a b/e in my stats, just poor execution
    - out -0.11

    11:11

    SHORT GS 165.79
    STOP 166.04
    TGT 164.29

    - From 10-11am SPY almost retraced it's entire selloff
    - GS held in a range at it's lows
    - Look to short the break of the range (as well as expecting SPY's retracement to fail)
    - out -0.3

    13:22

    SHORT HUM 55.95
    STOP 56.06
    TGT 55.75

    - SPY slow drift up from 11am-1pm
    - HUM flat and rangy during the time
    - SPY shows some weakness from 1pm
    - HUM breaks range to the lows, look for continuation with SPY
    - out +0.2

    15:22

    LONG WLP 58.00
    STOP 57.93
    TGT 58.15

    - WLP the inverse of HUM, great strength through the day including a big push up at 2pm
    - Look for continuation over the tight bar over round #
    - got 1c from tgt
    - out b/e

    15:29

    SHORT NTAP 51.34
    STOP 51.54
    TGT 50.94

    - Great daily chart looking like it was headed for another down session after a pause yesterday
    - Weak all day running inverse to SPY
    - I was aware of the prior days low (.48) but it had held under it for 2 bars.
    - Short the lower high
    - out -0.2

    1-2-3 day, brokers best friend.. 6-13-4 week, 24-42 month.

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/11/20/2010-11-19-trades/
     
    #2939     Nov 20, 2010
  10. 10:00

    SHORT AFL 53.9
    STOP 54.03

    out -0.13

    10:13

    SHORT JPM 38.84
    STOP 38.94
    TGT 38.64
     
    #2940     Nov 22, 2010