A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101019/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101019/rimm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101019/v.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101019/mon.png">

    9:54

    (2 min play)
    SHORT RIMM 46.89
    STOP 47.01
    TGT 46.65

    - Whole market down, look for a short entry for continuation..
    - Caught this right as the market turned, the earlier lower high would have been perfect
    - out -0.15

    10:17

    LONG V 79.01
    STOP 78.86
    TGT 79.31

    - V gapped down but went green quickly unlike the rest of the market
    - Look to get long as the market had turned from the bottoms
    - Long the break of the round #, using the bottom of current bar as the stop
    - out -0.19

    10:31

    LONG V 79.01
    STOP 78.78
    TGT 79.47

    - See above, using prior bar for stop
    - out -0.24
    - If i tried getting the break the 3rd time this would have worked out.

    10:40

    LONG MON 57.67
    STOP 57.49
    TGT 57.99

    - MON goes green just after 10am with some strength
    - out -0.22

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/10/19/2010-10-19-trades/

    (thanks mods for cleaning up the spam)
     
    #2761     Oct 19, 2010
  2. 9:50

    SHORT HGSI 24.84
    STOP 25.01
    TGT ..

    out -0.22
     
    #2762     Oct 20, 2010
  3. 10:08

    SHORT COF 37.83
    STOP 38.01
    TGT 37.50
     
    #2763     Oct 20, 2010
  4. out +0.33
     
    #2764     Oct 20, 2010
  5. 14:12

    LONG JNPR 32.5
    STOP 32.37
    TGT 32.76
     
    #2765     Oct 20, 2010
  6. out -0.14.. was 10c from tgt too.. and cramer on the air pumping it right now too..
     
    #2766     Oct 20, 2010
  7. 14:46

    SHORT ECA 28.38
    STOP 28.45
    TGT 28.24
     
    #2767     Oct 20, 2010
  8. out +0.13
     
    #2768     Oct 20, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101020/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101020/hgsi.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101020/cof.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101020/jnpr.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20101020/eca.png">

    9:50

    SHORT HGSI 24.84
    STOP 25.01
    TGT ..

    - SPY gap up, HGSI gap down
    - I chased this, missed an earlier entry on the 2min
    - out -0.22

    10:08

    SHORT COF 37.83
    STOP 38.01
    TGT 37.50

    - Up to 10am SPY was at HOD
    - COF was at LOD
    - Look for continuation as SPY turns
    - out +0.33

    14:12

    LONG JNPR 32.5
    STOP 32.37
    TGT 32.76

    - SPY in a slow drift down from the highs between 1-2pm with a big red bar after 2pm
    - JNPR continued strength up
    - got 10c from tgt really quickly
    out -0.14

    14:46

    SHORT ECA 28.38
    STOP 28.45
    TGT 28.24

    - ECA weak all day.
    - Small rally after 2pm with SPY but fully retraced the move up in 2 bars (spy did not retrace fully)
    - got 1c from stop, then LOD cover. xpert.
    - out +0.13

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/10/20/2010-10-20-trades/
     
    #2769     Oct 20, 2010
  10. mark1

    mark1 Guest

    Hi there, here 2 questions for Geez or Puddles about the 2 following patterns:

    (2) Market strong, stock has weak relative strength, buy the dip: On a multi-day move down and then a big gap down on the daily chart, wait for the first higher low to buy.

    (3) Market and stock extended, short the gap: Because of the indexes being extended and the gap up I look to get into shorts aggressively. Anytime I see a gap up after a multiday run up I am looking to get short. I'm looking to short any rally on the 5 minute chart as long as that rally doesn't go past (higher) than any prior pivot highs (showing strength again). When a stock is extended and the day before had huge buying after a multi-day rally and closed at the highs. I really like this for a day trade the next day. I expect people who have been long in this stock to take profits after that kind of move so the next day I look be aggressive in shorting it.
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Q1:
    Is number 3 basically the inverse of number 2 or there something important and different I'm missing ?

    Q2: Why the need for the stock weak relative strength in pattern 2 ? Weak relative strength compared to the index daily chart or intraday to the opening move of the market?

    Thanks for an outstanding journal.
     
    #2770     Oct 20, 2010