A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. 9:40

    SHORT RIMM 46.12
    STOP 46.32
    TGT 46.72

    punched it out +0.22 before the 9:55 news

    of course it blew by tgt on the news
     
    #2531     Aug 27, 2010
  2. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/rimm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/gs.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/x.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100827/bp.png">

    9:40

    (2 min play)
    SHORT RIMM 46.12
    STOP 46.32
    TGT 46.72

    - RIMM is the new MON, look to short it every day
    - Slight gap up, goes red quickly
    - Rel weaker than SPY
    - punched it out +0.22 before the 9:55 news


    11:25

    SHORT GS 139.55
    STOP 139.75
    TGT 139.15

    - SPY heading higher from 11am
    - GS holding a tight range near the lows
    - Short the break
    - out +0.15 on a fat finger setting my stop, went straight to tgt. counting as winner

    14:28

    LONG X 43.66
    STOP 43.55
    TGT 43.88

    - X a beast all day
    - out +0.22

    15:17

    SHORT BP 35.47
    STOP 35.52
    TGT 35.37

    - Tailed geezy on this one
    - BIG red bar down
    - Tight consolidation, look for continuation under a lower high
    - out -0.08 vicious slippage

    13-15 on the week. 48-49 on the month.

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/27/2010-08-27-trades/
     
    #2532     Aug 27, 2010
  3. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/rimm2.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/hpq.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/wynn.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/rimm5.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/cost.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100830/nflx.png">


    9:38

    (2 min play)
    SHORT RIMM 45.79
    STOP 46.01
    TGT 45.35

    - SPY gaps down and tries to close the gap
    - RIMM stays weak
    - out -0.23

    9:39

    LONG HPQ 39.11
    STOP 39.03
    TGT 39.3

    - Gap up on good news, tight higher low
    - out +0.18

    10:28

    SHORT WYNN 82.99
    STOP 83.28
    TGT 82.41

    - SPY weak and making new lows..
    - WYNN toos.. That green bar prior to entry should have been a red flag
    - out -0.32

    10:50

    LONG RIMM 46.73
    STOP 46.61
    TGT 36.97

    - RIMM making new highs
    - SPY trying to bounce off the bottom
    - got 3c from tgt
    - out b/e

    11:01

    LONG COST 56.75
    STOP 56.69
    TGT 56.87

    - Same story as RIMM but strong all day
    - Tight higher low, probably wasn't a good idea given the low volume to have a stop this tight
    - out -0.08

    11:11

    SHORT NFLX 122.99
    STOP 123.3
    TGT 122.39

    - Didn't bounce as well as SPY
    - Tight consolidation trying to break through support
    - out -0.39

    Bad day.. Only one regretable trade (WYNN) and maybe could have set up COST better but that was going to lose no matter what stop size I chose

    Work went nuts after i stopped out on the day (still working). Hope I can finish August strong tomorrow..

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/30/2010-08-30-trades/
     
    #2533     Aug 30, 2010
  4. sam0182

    sam0182

    Great stuff Puddles, keep it up. Day after day, you press home the importance of risk vs reward & discipline of keeping with such. While I miss Geez's posts, it's yours that really opened my eyes in recent months to the importance of R:R.

    Cheers man, looking forward to the August recap.
     
    #2534     Aug 31, 2010
  5. What a way to finish August.. I scaled down to two charts on one LCD yesterday..

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/pictures/baby_monitor.jpg">

    My daughter arrived a little ahead of schedule yesterday. Mother, baby and myself are doing fine but I'm not sure when the next time I'll be placing some trades will be..

    August stats: 49-54 (47.5%). +1 baby..
     
    #2535     Sep 1, 2010
  6. rjf0623

    rjf0623

    Don't forget the tax deduction.
     
    #2536     Sep 1, 2010
  7. I actually got a card that said "congratulations on your new tax deduction" :)
     
    #2537     Sep 2, 2010
  8. 15:13

    SHORT RIMM 44.02
    STOP 44.12
    TGT 43.82

    small trade while i'm home eating before i head back to the hospital..
     
    #2538     Sep 2, 2010
  9. out -0.1
     
    #2539     Sep 2, 2010
  10. 9:43

    SHORT RIMM 44.24
    StOP 44.37

    out -0.15

    9:56

    LONG INTU 44.49
    STOP 44.40
    TGT 44.67

    10:00

    SHORT GS 144.59
    STOP 144.83
    TGT 144.11
     
    #2540     Sep 7, 2010