A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. 14:38

    LONG GLD 118.01
    STOP 117.79
    TGT 118.45
     
    #2451     Aug 10, 2010
  2. out -0.24
     
    #2452     Aug 10, 2010
  3. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/amgn.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/mon.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/ne.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/sndk.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/rimm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100809/jpm.png">

    9:40

    SHORT AMGN 55.58
    STOP 55.72
    TGT 55.3

    (2 min)

    - SPY gap up
    - AMGN gap down
    - out -0.14

    10:05

    SHORT MON 59.39
    STOP 59.64
    TGT 58.88

    - same as above, tight lower high on the 5 minute
    - out b/e, was 2c from tgt! ugh

    10:48

    SHORT NE 34.2
    STOP 34.28
    TGT 34.04

    - as SPY tries to header higher NE makes new lows
    - out +0.16

    13:53

    LONG SNDK 46.4
    STOP 46.32
    TGT 46.56

    - SNDK strong and steady from the morning
    - ticked out and to tgt
    - out -0.08

    14:32

    LONG RIMM 55.74
    STOP 55.66
    TGT 55.9

    - same as SNDK, rips halfway to tgt after entry
    - out b/e

    15:23

    SHORT JPM 39.69
    STOP 39.75
    TGT 39.57

    - Weaker than SPY most of the day
    - Short the setup (at basically LOD +1c)
    - out -0.07

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/10/2010-08-09-trades/
     
    #2453     Aug 10, 2010
  4. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/fosl.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/sndk.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100810/gld.png">

    9:48

    LONG FOSL 45.58
    STOP 45.38
    TGT 45.98

    - Whole market down, FOSL up and trending higher
    - hit any higher low as SPY goes lower
    - out +0.40

    10:12

    SHORT SNDK 45.29
    STOP 45.43
    TGT 45.01

    - SPY tries to retrace after 10pm
    - SNDK makes new lows
    - Short lower high and break of support rather than under the prior bar
    - If i had shorted under the prior bar and calculated stop/tgt off it I would have hit TGT 20 minutes later. Instead I chop for 3 hours coming within 1c of my stop
    - out +0.3

    14:38

    LONG GLD 118.01
    STOP 117.79
    TGT 118.45

    - Fed interest rate unchanged, bullish for GLD
    - No big pullback bar like SPY, look to get long
    - out -0.24

    15:00ish

    LONG GLD 117.9
    STOP 117.69
    TGT 118.32

    - Same as above, I was a little too emotionally attached to this trade on a fundamental basis
    - out -0.21

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/10/2010-08-10-trades/
     
    #2454     Aug 11, 2010
  5. Here's a pic of where all the magic happened at geezy's castle. Thanks again for the hospitality dude!

    <img src="http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4074/4881377024_0083f12941_b.jpg">
     
    #2455     Aug 11, 2010
  6. niccia

    niccia

    Umm no pics of the pink room??? :confused:

    (nice pillows Geezy)
     
    #2456     Aug 11, 2010
  7. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/ttm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/eqr.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/bby.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/nflx.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/cf.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/el.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100811/rimm.png">

    9:45

    LONG TTM 21.49
    STOP 21.34
    TGT 21.79

    - Market all down
    - TTM gaps up
    - Look for a long
    - out -0.15

    (i didn't lose the full amount as i closed the trade out as i had to rush out but I'm counting it as a loss)

    10:04

    LONG EQR 46.2
    STOP 45.99
    TGT 46.62

    - EQR gaps down with most of the market but shows a lot of strength from the open
    - Long over the higher low, stop under round #
    - out -0.21

    10:07

    SHORT BBY 33.59
    STOP 33.66
    TGT 33.45

    - SPY chopping flat from the open
    - BBY very weak
    - Short under the tight lower high
    - out +0.14

    14:30

    LONG NFLX 127.01
    STOP 126.6
    TGT 127.83

    - NFLX just a monster
    - Long the tight lower high
    - out -0.49 (slip)

    14:59

    LONG CF 81.32
    STOP 81.1
    TGT 81.76

    - SPY makes a big move down from 2:30 onwards
    - CF making new highs
    - out +0.44

    15:06

    SHORT EL 60.48
    STOP 60.56
    TGT 60.32

    - Short weakness + tight bar

    out -0.10 (slip)

    15:19

    LONG RIMM 56.13
    STOP 56.05
    TGT 56.29

    - RIMM real strong in the afternoon
    - Long over the bar
    - It ran so hard i only got filled half size.
    - out +0.16

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/11/2010-08-11-trades/
     
    #2457     Aug 11, 2010
  8. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    If I'm not mistaken, isn't the spread on NFLX usually around .50? I think you need a 1.00 stop on that "thing" :D
     
    #2458     Aug 11, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/rimm2.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/rimm5.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/mon.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100812/pot.png">

    9:43

    SHORT RIMM 54.1
    STOP 54.3
    TGT 53.7

    - SPY down huge but heads higher
    - RIMM heads lower
    - out -0.2

    10:23

    SHORT RIMM 54.51
    STOP 54.67
    TGT 54.19

    - RIMM still nowhere near the relative strength of SPY
    - out -0.16

    10:35

    SHORT MON 56.24
    STOP 56.4
    TGT 55.92

    - MON with a HUGE opening bar then almost a full retrace down
    - The big green bar should have scared me off
    - out -0.16

    14:14

    SHORT POT 11.24
    STOP 111.57
    TGT 110.61

    - SPY puts in a big green bar after 2pm
    - POT doesn't follow suit
    - Geezy takes it, i follow since my own calls arn't really working
    - out -0.37

    I had a extremely busy day with meetings and calls all morning AND I started the day off already tilted with an incident before the open. I probably shouldn't have even traded the morning..

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/12/2010-08-12-trades/
     
    #2459     Aug 12, 2010
  10. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/rimm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/cam.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/apol.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100813/akam.png">

    9:57

    SHORG RIMM 53.55
    STOP 53.8
    TGT 53.05

    - RIMM weak vs SPY, showing no bounce
    - geezy and i take this one..
    - out -0.32
    - geezy and i get raped on our stops

    12:42

    LONG CAM 37.63
    STOP 37.55
    TGT 37.79

    - Great clean strong chart all day
    - Break my 11-2 rule and take a partial sized long
    - out +0.16 (tgt)
    - got +0.21 on a 100 share runner, wanted .99 but kept moving stop up on every higher low, got stopped out at .84

    13:23

    SHORT APOL 38.84
    STOP 38.97
    TGT 38.58

    - APOL weak all day, big legs down and holding new levels
    - out -0.13

    14:37

    LONG AKAM 44.5
    STOP 44.4
    TGT 44.7

    - SPY heading steadily lower from 1:30 onwards
    - AKAM heading in the opposite direction
    - out b/e on my 3pm time stop.. Early run to the patio.

    I'm counting the AKAM as a loss on my record even though I didn't lose money.

    7-16 week which takes my month to 21-24 which is back on plan.. RTM can be a bitch.

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/08/13/2010-08-13-trades/
     
    #2460     Aug 13, 2010