A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100714/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100714/armh.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100714/rimm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100714/ibm.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100714/gild.png">

    9:38

    LONG ARMH 14.50
    STOP 14.44
    TGT 14.62

    (2 min)
    - SPY gaps down and shows weakness
    - ARM gaps up and holds while SPY heads a little lower
    - long over the tight higher low (wanted .51, got a .50 fill)
    - out -0.06

    9:50

    SHORT RIMM 54.81
    STOP 54.92
    TGT 54.59

    (2 min)
    - SPY was beginning to try and retrace up
    - RIMM stayed at it's lows
    - short under tight lower high
    - out +0.22 in a hurry

    10:09

    LONG IBM 131.01
    STOP 130.84
    TGT 131.35

    - IBM shows a ton of strength from the open, no pullbacks
    - very strong vs. SPY
    - long over the tight higher low
    - ticked out out -0.20
    - i should have had stop at .81 to give a little wiggle room with the spread..

    10:36

    SHORT RIMM 54.63
    STOP 54.77
    TGT 54.35

    - SPY is making new highs at this point
    - RIMM still near the lows.
    - This was a short on the 5min chart
    - out +0.28

    15:29

    SHORT GILD 34.75
    STOP 34.8
    TGT 34.65

    - Trading after the fed minutes was just awful
    - GILD at the lows while SPY was heading higher from 3pm on
    - out -0.05

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/07/14/2010-07-14-trades/
     
    #2351     Jul 14, 2010
  2. 9:45

    SHORT POT 92.85
    STOP 93.05
    TGT 92.45

    out -0.2

    9:47

    SHORT NEM 60.8
    STOP 60.96
    TGT 60.48

    messed up my stop move and took it +0.22

    thanks philly fed
     
    #2352     Jul 15, 2010
  3. 14:47

    LONG POT 97.9
    StOP 97.7
    STOP 98.3
     
    #2353     Jul 15, 2010
  4. went 0.25 in my favor.. then spy fell off a cliff..

    out -0.2
     
    #2354     Jul 15, 2010
  5. NoDoji

    NoDoji


    Uh, Puddles, you were supposed to long POT at 10:45am ET @ 93.85.

    Didn't you get the memo?

    Yeah, me neither :eek:
     
    #2355     Jul 15, 2010
  6. I actually talked myself out of long at 93.32 over the 10:30 bar because i was heading out the door to the office..

    i didn't pull up a POT chart at work until just before noon. sick.
     
    #2356     Jul 15, 2010
  7. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Murphy's Third Law of Trading:

    If you are tempted to put on a trade before you're about to leave your office for any reason, and you decide it would be better to wait until you got back before trading, that will turn out to the best move of the day.

    There's actually a new indicator based on this setup: NLHD - NoDoji's Leaving Her Desk
     
    #2357     Jul 15, 2010
  8. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100715/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100715/pot.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100715/nem.png">

    9:45

    SHORT POT 92.85
    STOP 93.05
    TGT 92.45

    - POT weak with SPY
    - Short the lower high on the 2 min
    - out -0.2

    9:47

    SHORT NEM 60.8
    STOP 60.96
    TGT 60.48

    - As SPY tried to retrace from it's opening move down NEM made a lower high ont he 2min
    - short
    - messed up moving my stop, +0.22, shoulda been +0.32

    14:47

    LONG POT 97.9
    StOP 97.7
    STOP 98.3

    - From 10:45am on POT turns into an absolute monster
    - SPY puts in 3 red bars and POT stays at it's highs putting in a tight higher low
    - Long over the higher low as SPY turns
    - out -0.2

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/07/15/2010-07-15-trades/
     
    #2358     Jul 15, 2010
  9. geez

    geez

    I concur! I bought 300 shares of WFMI thanks to a lil birdie, went to lunch....came back was up +1.90. Who knew.
    Damn it Jim!
     
    #2359     Jul 15, 2010
  10. jim c

    jim c

    I pulled a huge .25 cents out of that WFMI! ha! Glad someone could make money off that call. Damn it me!
     
    #2360     Jul 16, 2010