A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. stop to b/e
     
    #2261     Jun 24, 2010
  2. out +0.22
     
    #2262     Jun 24, 2010
  3. 14:01

    SHORT APC 36.72
    STOP 36.91
    TGT 36.34
     
    #2263     Jun 24, 2010
  4. stop to .77 on lower high
     
    #2264     Jun 24, 2010
  5. to .65
     
    #2265     Jun 24, 2010
  6. out +0.07 on the stop move. was looking to add under .52
     
    #2266     Jun 24, 2010
  7. 14:43

    SHORT TGT 51.11
    STOP 51.19
    TGT 50.95
     
    #2267     Jun 24, 2010
  8. out -0.08
     
    #2268     Jun 24, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100624/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100624/jcg.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100624/fe.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100624/apc.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100624/tgt.png">

    9:40

    SHORT JCG 39.5
    STOP 39.7
    TGT 39.1

    - JCG was on my short watch list due to a good daily
    - JCG weak from open just like SPY
    - Look for a setup on the 2minute chart
    - Short under the lower high at LOD
    - out +0.4

    10:02

    LONG FE 36.49
    STOP 36.38
    TGT 36.71

    - SPY sold off for the first 30 minutes of the session
    - FE was up and holding, fantastic relative strength
    - Long over the tight higher lower
    - out +0.22

    14:01

    SHORT APC 36.72
    STOP 36.91
    TGT 36.34

    - SPY moving up between 1-2pm
    - APC moving downward between the same period
    - Nice tight lower high sets up, short under it
    - As more lower highs set up on the next bar and 3 bars later i move my stop down
    - I was looking to add under .50 but that never occured. I should have waited for an add before moving my stop
    - out +0.07.

    This would have gone to target had i just moved my stop to b/e at the appropriate time. Lesson learned, don't move stops unless I'm adding or it's to B/E.

    14:43

    SHORT TGT 51.11
    STOP 51.19
    TGT 50.95

    - TGT didn't really participate too much in the 1-2pm rally, heads down from 2pm onward along with SPY
    - Look for an entry along with continued market weakness
    - Short under the lower high..
    - Ticked out the next bar then target in 25 minutes.
    - out -0.08

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/06/24/2010-06-24-trades/
     
    #2269     Jun 24, 2010
  10. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    From the chart it looks like this one made a .70 move from the opening high to the pivot point off which you shorted. Why not target a similar move down for the 2nd leg (around 38.85), since 2nd legs of a trend are usually similar to the first leg (measured moves)?
     
    #2270     Jun 24, 2010