A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. out +0.14
     
    #2051     May 24, 2010
  2. geez

    geez

    Not sure what candle you mean DT3....I'll let hotpuddles put a chart in first and show where we enter, that may help. But if I am shorting I enter as soon as the prior bar is broken. Like RIG at 11:05, once the .75 breaks the .76 of the prior low, I enter.
     
    #2052     May 24, 2010
  3. DT3

    DT3

    gottcha, I was just asking in if you like to see the bar close before you go long/short or if it just hitting a price is good enough for you to enter
     
    #2053     May 24, 2010
  4. DT3

    DT3

    out at 28.76, but something tells me this isn't a trade you or puddels would take. would love to hear comments
     
    #2054     May 24, 2010
  5. geez

    geez

    What time was it at?
     
    #2055     May 24, 2010
  6. DT3

    DT3

    I posted it a 9:44 so prob. a minute or so before
     
    #2056     May 24, 2010
  7. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/gild.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/hgsi.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/100524-hgsi-sterling.png">


    10:04

    SHORT GILD 35.99
    STOP 36.09
    TGT 35.79

    - I had massive sterling charting issues for the first hour, I ended up trading off my Ninjatrader charts which I'm totally not used to.
    - GILD drifted lower with SPY but didn't move much on SPY's big bar, moderate relative weakness
    - Take lower high
    - out -0.1


    10:53

    LONG HGSI 24.01
    STOP 23.87
    TGT 24.29

    - At this point sterling charting is back.. somewhat.
    - HGSI showing great relative strength. Gapped up and going up after an early pullback
    - Rather than showing me the 10:45 bar, Sterling shows me a bar for 10:48 (?!?). Screencap below.
    - Because the high of the bar on sterling was .98 i decided to wait until .01 to make sure it got through the round #
    - Entry .01, stop at .87 as per the bar as seen in sterling.
    - Since it's Victoria Day up here I go out for lunch with my GF who is home.
    - As per usual all my trades are bracketed.
    - While at lunch I see on my BB that I should have stopped out
    - I return home to see my stop never triggered and my target hit..
    - If I had used the correct entry/stop/target based on the real 10:45 bar (.96, stop .87, tgt .14) I would have hit my target before the shakeout
    - This is pretty f'ng scary to me but for now I'll take this win..
    - out +0.28


    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/05/24/2010-05-24-trades/
     
    #2057     May 24, 2010
  8. geez

    geez

    I like the rel weakness of WFC but it never gives me a setup (on the 5 min chart)that I would take. It has 3 bars down and no pullback up (no green bars) I would either wait for this to base and short the break of that or wait for a lower high to set up.

    You were right on picking the bank sector though..check out AIG and GS setups today.
     
    #2058     May 24, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/sii.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/amgn.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100524/mon.png">


    14:17

    SHORT SII 38.91
    STOP 39.03
    TGT 38.67

    - SPY heads up between 13:45 to 14:15
    - SII drifts slowly downard showing relative weakness
    - short lower high
    - out +0.24

    14:43

    LONG AMGN 53.04
    STOP 52.97
    TGT 53.21

    - SPY sells off from 14:20 to 14:40
    - AMGN holds a tight range indicating relative strength
    - Take the next higher low just outside the range
    - out -0.07

    14:56

    SHORT MON 54.24
    STOP 54.31
    TGT 54.1

    - MON shows relative weakness through the afternoon
    - It's not a complete week unless you short MON
    - MON makes a nice lower high at the LOD, short under it
    - out +0.14

    3-2 today, probably should have been 2-3 but I'll take it..

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2010/05/24/2010-05-24-trades/
     
    #2059     May 24, 2010
  10. Arnie

    Arnie

    How did you end up on the RIG short? Hope you were able to hold some for awhile.
     
    #2060     May 24, 2010