A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100513/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100513/kbh.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100513/mon.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100513/sndk.png">

    10:06

    SHORT KBH 16.81
    STOP 16.9
    TGT 16.63

    - KBH gaps down and drifts down as SPY heads up from it's gap down
    - take the tight lower high
    - out -0.1

    10:22

    SHORT MON 55.87
    STP 55.99
    TGT 55.63

    - always looking to short MON based on it's daily..
    - same story as KBH, gap down and drifting down while SPY gaps up
    - short under the lower high
    - out +0.24

    15:05

    SHORT SNDK 43.27
    STOP 43.4
    TGT 43.01

    Geez told me he was doing this trade so I tailed it. Here's how I saw it..

    - SNDK relatively weak to the SPY after lunch
    - The 1-3pm stretch of SNDK is lower than it's morning lows vs. SPY which is ranging near it's pivot
    - SNDK breaks the range to new lows and sets up a lower high (as well as SPY).
    - Short below the lower high as SPY does the same.
    - the SPY lower high sends SNDK quickly to it's target
    - out +0.26
     
    #1971     May 13, 2010
  2. geez

    geez

    Boy that SNDK is textbook....glad I tailed you!
    Nice trading today hotpuddles!
     
    #1972     May 13, 2010
  3. 10:26

    SHORT CEPH 60.87
    STOP 61.03
    TGT 60.55
     
    #1973     May 14, 2010
  4. stop to .86
     
    #1974     May 14, 2010
  5. TGT to .61 (i had a .89 fill, tgt was wrong, i missed the cover)
     
    #1975     May 14, 2010
  6. (i'm on 4 hours sleep here)
     
    #1976     May 14, 2010
  7. out +0.28

    f me, i need to go back to bed..
     
    #1977     May 14, 2010
  8. geez

    geez

    Cant wait to see this chart..this trade is sick!!!
     
    #1978     May 14, 2010
  9. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100514/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100514/ceph.png">

    10:26

    SHORT CEPH 60.87
    STOP 61.03
    TGT 60.55

    - Big market gap down, short bias today. no longs unless my name is geez and the stock is HAUP
    - SPY reverses at after 10am with a few nice green bars
    - CEPH barely participates retracing less than halfway back up it's last leg down
    - short under the lower high at .87. trade triggered at .87 but i got it at .89. stop stays the same at .03 so adjust the target accordingly with a better entry

    - probably should have added to the short under the lower high at 10:55 but wussed out (would have moved original stop to .79 if i added there)

    5-4-1 on the week.

    go flyers
     
    #1979     May 14, 2010
  10. I am with ya buddy!

    Thanks for keeping this journal going.
     
    #1980     May 14, 2010