A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. 9:56

    LONG VRX 49.02 (wanted .00)
    STOP 48.85
    TGT 49:30
     
    #1921     May 6, 2010
  2. out -0.17
     
    #1922     May 6, 2010
  3. geez

    geez

    TRADES TODAY:

    9:42 AMGN SHORT 56.14 STOP 56.31 TGT 55.82
    EXIT 56.31 -200
    * SPY gaps down and as it moves up AMGN stays weak (rel weakness play). Short on the 2 min chart lower high.

    10:05 COST SHORT 58.60 STOP 58.95 TGT 57.90
    *COST gaps under yesterday's green bar and stays weaker than SPY through the first 30 min. It puts in a lower high on the 5 min chart at 10:05 short there.
    EXIT 57.94 +375

    10:25 WYNN SHORT 84.82 STOP 85.32 TGT 83.82
    EXIT 83.82 +400
    * WYNN is weak and puts in a lower high on the 5 min chart at 10:20 same time SPY does.

    10:40 WYNN SHORT 84.24 STOP 84.34 TGT 83.64
    EXIT 83.64 +420
    * Already in one WYNN short and it breaks lod on a strong move and puts in a perfect lower high at 10:40.

    4 TRADES
    3 WINS
    1 LOSS
     
    #1923     May 6, 2010
  4. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100506/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100506/wynn.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100506/vrx.png">


    9:56

    LONG VRX 49.02 (wanted .00)
    STOP 48.85
    TGT 49:30

    (2 minute chart)
    - VRX showing daily strength and had it's small pullback yesterday, now it's ready to roll again.. looking for longs.
    - gaps down with SPY but shows early strength on the 2min
    - take over the higher low on the 2 minute..
    - looked good for a bit then a big bar down.. -0.17
     
    #1924     May 6, 2010
  5. 10:12 SHORT HGSI 22.79
    STOP 23.02
    TGT 22.33
     
    #1925     May 7, 2010
  6. out +45

    looks like i got a .78 fill..
     
    #1926     May 7, 2010
  7. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100507/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100507/hgsi.png">

    10:12 SHORT HGSI 22.79
    STOP 23.02
    TGT 22.33

    - After thursday there's very little chance I'm going long anything intra day unless I can see a strong established uptrend
    - HGSI showing a weak daily almost to the point of extended down
    - HGSI gaps down with SPY but it's first three bars are much weaker than SPY (rel weakness to market)
    - The entry on the 9:50 is pretty nice as SPY turns but the stop is way too large (at the time)
    - HGSI steps down with SPY and sets up a nice tight lower high allowing for a small stop.
    - Short under prior bar at 22.79 (got filled at 22.78)
    - as the market continues to fall target is easily hit +0.45

    wish they could all be this easy.
     
    #1927     May 8, 2010
  8. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    That's what I like about breakout trades (break thru HOD or LOD), when they work they work quickly so you can safely use a small stop. I've found them to be the easiest trades.
     
    #1928     May 8, 2010
  9. gm nod!

    4-4 on the week, right on plan..

    <3 2:1 R:R
     
    #1929     May 8, 2010
  10. geez

    geez

    Trades from 5/7:

    9:45 MCK SHORT 64.89 STOP 65.19 TGT 62.29
    EXIT 65.19 -200
    * MCK Gaps down and as SPY moves up MCK bases low for the first 10 min. As SPY reverses at 9:40 MCK break down. Short below the 9:40 low. It stops me out and goes right to tgt after that.

    9:55 MON LONG 59.66 STOP 59.26 TGT 60.46
    EXIT 59.26 -200
    *MON is extended down on the daily chart , so looking for a bounce, puts in a higher low on the 5 min chart.

    10:05 MOS LONG 48.74 STOP 48.54 TGT 49.14
    EXIT 48.54 -200
    *MOS is extended down on daily chart and holds strong the first 30 min of trading, but the higher low on 5 min chart.

    12:05 1/2 LOT AKS LONG 15.90 STOP 15.60
    13:30 1/2 LOT AKS LONG 15.76 STOP 15.60 TGT 16.40
    EXIT all 15.60- 200
    * AKS is extended down on daily holds real well all a.m., but the higher low right under HOD.

    15:25 APOL SHORT 54.54 STOP 54.66 TGT 54.33
    *EXIT b/e
    * APOL is weak through out the day and puts in a perfect lower high on the 5 min chart. Gets with .02 of tgt, move stop to b/e.


    0 Wins
    4 Losses
    1 b/e
     
    #1930     May 10, 2010