A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. correct..

    lotsa charts to come tonight.. lets hope i can get them up before i get too deep into the coronas..
     
    #1911     May 5, 2010
  2. geez

    geez

    Feliz Navidad!

    that means happy may 5th right?
     
    #1912     May 5, 2010
  3. geez

    geez

    Trades today:

    CLF LONG 52.45 /Stop 52.05/ TGT 53.25
    EXIT 53.45 +500
    *CLF was extended on the daily and with the SPY gap down today I took the first Higher low on the 1 min chart at open

    9:50 OXY SHORT 82.58/ STOP 83.03/ TGT 81.58
    EXIT 83.03 -200
    * OXY Stayed weak while SPY bounced after the first sell off. I shorted under the LOD looking for SPY to continue lower and this being a very weak stock to lead the way.

    10:05 COST LONG 60.45/ STOP 60.34/ TGT 60.67
    EXIT 60.67 +400
    *COST is the reverse of OXY, this was strong on the open and stayed strong , so I bought the first Higher low which happened to be just under the HOD.

    10:25 OXY SHORT 83.52/ STOP 84.02/ TGT 82.52
    EXIT 84.02 -200
    *OXY puts in a lower high at 10:20 when SPY looks like it may reverse as well after moving up into the gap and turning back down. OXY stays much weaker than SPY which helps trigger this trade....goes +.59 in my favor (just for you Nodoji)

    2:15 APC SHORT 62.86/ STOP 63.01/ TGT 62.56
    EXIT 62.46 +440
    * APC was my top pick short today due to the daily chart setting up a possible lower high after the last sell off and 2 days rally. I waited for it to show weakness and shorted the lower high at 2:10. Maybe shoulda held some of this one longer..hehe

    5 TRADES:
    3 WINS
    2 LOSSES

    (OXY eventually sets up nice lower highs at 1:50 and 2:10 that I call to puddles, but we dont take. We were right on the overall move of OXY though)
     
    #1913     May 5, 2010
  4. Here's the charts for some of geez's trades..

    1. CLF Daily
    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/clf-daily.png">

    2. CLF 1-min
    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/clf.png">

    3. APC 5-min
    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/apc.png">
     
    #1914     May 5, 2010
  5. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/xl.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20100505/vrx.png">

    9:48

    XL LONG 17.95
    STOP 17.7
    TGT 18.45


    (this is a 2minute chart, i trade off a 1 or 2min during the open)
    - XL is extended down on the daily, look for longs.
    - XL gaps up on the open, nothing else does, good sign of strength
    - Higher low sets up, take it over the bar, 17.95 (could have taken it lower)
    - Get shaken out real fast -0.25
    - I have no issues with this trade, just a shakeout but I feel that I was on the correct side..


    11:18

    VRX SHORT 48.78
    STOP 48.9
    TGT 48.54

    - VRX was extended *UP* on a 5 day rally which is pretty exceptional considering the last few days. I'll be looking to get short pretty aggressively
    - VRX opens a bit better than SPY but shows weakness. Look to get short but no clean setups show up.
    - As SPY rips from 9:45 to 11am where SPY ends up above it's open, VRX fails to fully retrace it's move down from the open
    - Lower high sets up at 11:15, take below the bar.. short 48.78
    - The Lower High at 11:30 was valid too and I could have taken that trade independently or added to my trade. (short .63, stop .73, target .43. would have hit +0.20)
    - Target hits +0.24

    15:49

    APC Short 61.52, stop .62..

    Didn't get around to posting this one..

    Chart in the post above... I thought I was done for the day after missing a perfect AXP setup at 14:00 but I had already started my May 5th celebrations and I had just gotten a phone call with some great news.. All giddy like a school girl I took the APC lower high at 61.52.. The probable EOD short cover rally took me out pretty fast -0.13 (3c of slippage).. That was just dumb, i should have looked at the clock..

    1-2 day, flat less commish/fees
     
    #1915     May 5, 2010
  6. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    So this is what happens when Mom's out of the room. :p
     
    #1916     May 5, 2010
  7. I am interested to learn more about the evening preparation process involved in scanning the charts for oversold and overbought condition.

    Do you guys just manually go through a basket of stocks and pull each daily chart up one by one till you see something you like and put it on a watch list? If so how big is the basket and how much time do you put into this? Or do you go the easy route and have a scanner which narrows your list down a lot?

    Many thanks
     
    #1917     May 5, 2010
  8. I used to flip through charts like a fool then i figured out a shortcut. finviz.com can display a whole wack of charts on one screen.

    if anything looks interesting i open the chart in a new tab.. When i'm done scanning through my list and i go through my tabs to see which stocks i want to put on my lists..

    here's my bookmarks.

    - list for general scanning
    http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=2...sh_price_o15,sh_relvol_o1&ft=4&ta=0&o=-volume

    - list to find extended up
    http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=2...sh_relvol_o1,ta_change_u2&ft=4&ta=0&o=-volume

    - list to find extended down
    http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=2...sh_relvol_o1,ta_change_d2&ft=4&ta=0&o=-volume
     
    #1918     May 5, 2010
  9. Arnie

    Arnie

    Question for geez and puddles:

    You mentioned that stock met your criteria, buy you didn't take trade. Why?
     
    #1919     May 5, 2010
  10. which one?
     
    #1920     May 5, 2010