A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. geez

    geez

    3:47 1400 DIA EXIT 84.43
    P/L +418.42
     
    #1381     May 26, 2009
  2. geez

    geez

    5/26/09:

    Total P/L +1,378.85
    5 trades
    4 wins
    1 loss
     
    #1382     May 26, 2009

  3. GEEZ is money magnet ;-)
     
    #1383     May 26, 2009
  4. Hi Geez,

    I attached a chart of the FAZ trade that you took @ 11:41.

    I have a few questions regarding your entry. Can you please see the attachment for my questions?

    Thank you,
    gotta_trade
     
    #1384     May 26, 2009
  5. Low at 11.15 was lower than low of 10:30 & 10:50 ; so does not make perfect setup for LONG.

    Low at 11:45 was higher than last low i.e. 11.15 ; possibly a better setup for GEEZ's LONG.

    <img src="http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2441276" width="600" height="480" />
     
    #1385     May 26, 2009
  6. Another question - what are the best trading hours if someone does not have full 6:30 hours available for day trading?

    Thanks,
     
    #1386     May 26, 2009
  7. I'm going to take a shot at this even though I'm likely to be wrong, so keep that in mind.

    first, if i'm reading your notes right, the green bar your pointing out(11:10) made a lower low than the previous bar.
    Notice the bar Geez used to trigger his entry never broke the low of the previous bar of 11:35. Then he used the bar your refering to as his stop point.

    Another thing about that 11:10 bar is where would you stop? Looks to me like 11.06 would have been the spot, so about a .20 stop.

    I believe the 11:40 bar breaking the hi of the 11:35 bar was the trigger to enter.(?) But, this makes me wonder what if the price reversed before 11;45? In other words, Geez went long before that bar was completed, so what if the lo from the 11:35 would have been taken out? Does that any sense, lol!?

    Hopefully Geez will chime in and help us.
     
    #1387     May 26, 2009
  8. geez

    geez

    Thank You gotta_trade,
    I just got on to my computer at the office and wanted to post the FAS chart from today. I felt there would be questions regarding this trade and it's also one of my favorite setups.
    I'm going to use your chart to answer the questions and tell you what I saw:
    First off, the daily chart of most stocks gave me a long bias this morning and the way the indexes moved up early on, I was looking for some pullbacks to get long.
    Second, Mike Morrison is right on why I did not buy the first pullback you asked about at 11:15. It broke the prior pivot low that was made at 10:30, so this voided any long for me.
    The rally from this tops out and puts a lower high in at 11:30. Alot of traders would short this lower high, but because this is the first day of a strong rally after a few days of pulling back and the market is in a short term uptrend, i want to be long on a day like this. So I wait for ANY higher low that comes off of this.The reason I like this so much is you also catch the traders who are short, causing a short squeeze when we move back up.
    The 11:40 bar breaks above the 11:35 bar, that is my signal to buy, putting the stop below the pivot that was just made at 11:35.
    The smallest stop I take is a .10 stop, so my stop was 9.23 and my target 9.53.
    Just to clarify it again...the #1 reason for this trade is the daily chart of the indexes. A few days of pulling back in a short term uptrend, followed by a very strong opening move today on the first day of a rally. So I want to be aggressive to the long side.
    hope that helps.-G
    Here is the chart:
     
    #1388     May 26, 2009
  9. geez

    geez


    TraderSU,
    In a nice moving market I would want to trade 9:30 a.m. to 11:00 everyday, then 2pm to 3:30 pm.
     
    #1389     May 26, 2009
  10. geez

    geez

    oops..TraderSU nailed it already, 100%
     
    #1390     May 26, 2009