A 70k bet that I can't make a 50% gain in 2009

Discussion in 'Journals' started by geez, Dec 21, 2008.

  1. geez

    geez

    stop moved to 8.52...may get botted and don't want to have this one run against me.
     
    #1081     May 11, 2009
  2. geez

    geez

    2:38 2000 FITB EXIT 8.39
    P/L +388.93
     
    #1082     May 11, 2009
  3. geez

    geez

    5/11/09:

    Total P/L +752.32
    6 trades
    3 wins
    3 losses
     
    #1083     May 11, 2009
  4. geez

    geez

    Hey snake,
    I scan roughly 200 stocks each night, looking for extended stocks (in both directions) and stocks that look to be setting up buy/short patterns on the daily chart to play them intraday. I then scan the gap list in the morning to find early plays.
    I always have a few charts that I will keep up all the time (RIMM AAPL SKF SRS ) along with the indexes.
    SKF was setting up a buy pattern on the 5 min chart today and I had alot of banks/financials on short watch , so I took SKF long. I will try to get a way to post the chart of SKF for that entry.
    Does this explain what you were looking for? If not, let me know. -G
     
    #1084     May 11, 2009
  5. I would add that his use of a hard stop in relation to his entry point to size his positions to remain within his risk parameters is most important to his success.



    Stop and target are based on price action. His position size is determined by the entry and initial stop loss.

    This is a very interesting journal. Geez demonstrates excellent control, both technical and psychological. If I were wearing a hat, Geez, I'd be tipping it to you.
     
    #1085     May 11, 2009
  6. AA48

    AA48

    I disagree partially.I agree about the position size,I agree that the stop is based on price action,but his target is arbitrary.It could be 1.7 or 2.3.The "key" is that his target is always greater than the risk.So,Geez even if he has only 40% success would be still profitable.

    Maybe sometimes his profit target is a little altered due to the presence of a significant support or resistance level.But,who knows in advance if these levels will not be violated?
     
    #1086     May 11, 2009
  7. Geez,

    Good work on your results thus far. You seem to have a good plan and keep emotions out of the trade. I was wondering what software you use to scan for your nightly and morning scans?

    Wolfpacker
     
    #1087     May 11, 2009
  8. I'm not so sure the "disagreement" is all that important. The position sizing is the key component of his trading success with respect to the relation between his initial stop and his entry. And, as you note, the second key component to his trading success is his disciplined approach that sets a profit target that is greater than his intial risk, and that he has the mental strength to allow profits to run to his targets while always cutting his loss at no greater than his inital risk level.

    So whether, as you say, Geez's profit targets are arbitraily set, or as I suggested, that those targets are based upon prior price action, i.e. support and resistance, the result, so long as proper position sizing is consistanty applied, will be the same - a consistantly profitable trading program. The one thing that we can agree is not arbitrary is his position sizing. The number of shares traded is always based upon the size of the inital risk.

    And no doubt we both agree that Geez has produced a very interesting and worthwhile journal.
     
    #1088     May 11, 2009
  9. Jegnyr

    Jegnyr

    Not to get into your SLF(s) time.

    1-0 Period one interlude. Keep it up and you can steam roll into the next round!

    And did I forget to say, how smart and beautiful blonds can truly be (Fine, Mr Geez told me to say it)................

    The pollution continues.........:)
     
    #1089     May 11, 2009
  10. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Geez, I imagine had you been a member of the Apollo 13 crew, you would've been the one to bring them home safely with nothing more than pencils and duct tape.
     
    #1090     May 11, 2009