True, very true. I don't disagree. I simply don't believe this is what's going on. It's all hypothetical. The reality is, if I end up making money for two years straight, I'll take it, whatever the cause behind it might be. But good luck convincing me it's due to random chance. Personally, I just don't put enough stock in that possibility to pursue it.
Yeah I'd say if you have something that works for two years and you have a few hundred trades, you can be fairly confident that it worked for the last two years ;-)
I can identify with where you're coming from, and I see your positive outlook as being very similar to my own, which is why I like monitoring your progress and hope it all pans out for you in the end. I've been operating based on winning principles ever since November 2015, but have never been able to shake the conviction that I could make my system better, so have been "messing around with it" ever since then rather than simply trade it as is. Originally, it's success was exclusive to scalping. But since then, I've been able to figure out how to make it work with pseudo-swing trading, Nadex two-hour binary options, Nadex five-minute and 20-minute binary options, IQ Options 15-minute binary options, and now with straight up swing trading. This three-and-a-half year process has put the meat on the bones of an already functioning work in progress to the point where I just saw almost no difference between what I'm using now and what I was using last week (except that the same basic lines have become super precise) so that as I wrote earlier... all I plan to do now is practice, practice, practice until I am free to trade it full time come September.
That's cute. I've been building algos for over 15 years now, some here have been doing it since the early 90s. But what do we old farts know anyway, it's not like we'd ever understand anything.
Because he's not really trading. He keeps changing his algorithm, then running backtests on "realtime" data and calls it live.