90% traders don't make it???

Discussion in 'Trading' started by kalashnicac, Jul 27, 2005.

  1. Pathus

    Pathus

    Why dont we all just become brokers
     
    #91     Jul 29, 2005
  2. lol.

    Princeton doesn't have a business school. And Yale's MBA is not so hot (as opposed to its undegrad reputation).

    At the top programs, just about everyone who wants a job in Sales and Trading gets one. Chicago alone sent over 60 grads into S&T at bulge brackets last year.
     
    #92     Jul 29, 2005
  3. sammybea

    sammybea

    Yeah was digging around Columbia's b-school's site. Its really not that hard to get a S&T job if you come from a top school. In fact, odds are that will be in supply.. Even if you don't get your top pick, your backups will be name brands.

    http://www.columbia.edu/cu/business/career/employmentreport/2004/er2004.pdf
     
    #93     Jul 29, 2005
  4. Risk Manager,

    You said "I've been working as a broker, now as a salestrader/prop.

    90-95% of the customers are losing in futures trading, 70-80% in stock trading. And the commissions at the company were/are excellent from a customer's point of view."

    Why do they lose? Are they selling options or trading the contracts? Why do you think they lose?

    Any other people commenting are welcomed.
     
    #94     Jul 29, 2005
  5. The CEO's explanation was that they usually cut their winners short and therefore can't compensate their losses. IMO, this analysis is correct, but it's rather the symptom than the cause.

    Why should they behave different, it'd be counterintuitive! It literally took me literally years to fully understand that I don't have to have more winning trades than losing trades in order to be profitable.

    Trading is no rocket science, the reason most people fail is that in order to be profitable, you have mastery in several key areas at the same time: strategy, tactics and mindset/psychology.

    You must have a statistical edge with regards to market analysis (tactics), must think and behave unnaturally since our brains aren't hardwired for a trading environment by evolution (mindset/psychology) and you must understand the importance of an overall strategy, i.e. statistics & risk management, i.e. must be able to recognize losses you can be proud of and winners you shoud be ashamed of.

    Of course, it's good advice to cut your losses short. But the more often you do so, the more profits your winning trades will have to make in order to compensate the losses and commissions.


    Cheers!
     
    #95     Jul 30, 2005
  6. Excellent point... unfortunately, many ET'ers will never get this point... nevertheless, those few words above are profound and totally meaningful for those of us who have been trading consistently for years...

    Unless a trader can relate fully to your excellent handful of words, I doubt that they have as yet attained trading consistency...

    From personal experience and from discussion with my contemporaries, it is my firmly held contention that the best traders positively embrace and, indeed, look forward to 'good quality' losses...
     
    #96     Jul 30, 2005
  7. Quote from Riskmanager:

    i.e. must be able to recognize losses you can be proud of and winners you shoud be ashamed of.


    Absolutely. I remember shortly after I started trading where I am. I have taken a winning trade, and my boss reviews it on the chart and says that it was not a good trade and 'dumb luck' that it was a winner. I think excepting that reply, instead of getting pissed off, was really important to me.

    And I think I would add to that - you must be able to make yourself take trades that your 'head' says at the time look like losers, if/because that is the only want to stay disciplined and consistent to your method.
     
    #97     Jul 30, 2005
  8. I don't think there is any profession, business, etc that is worth doing if more then 10% can do it. If more then 10% could do it then there wouldn't be enough money in it.

    Actually the higher the wash out rate the better for those interested in making a lot of money.

    How much would Doctors make if 90% of the population had what it took to be one??

    Take comfort in the difficulty.

    John
     
    #98     Jul 30, 2005
  9. But 90% of doctors don't fail.
     
    #99     Jul 30, 2005
  10. Htrader

    Htrader Guest

    No, but a very high majority of people who want to become doctors do fail.

    Medical schools nationwide accept only 1/3 of all applicants.
     
    #100     Jul 30, 2005