90% Profitable Setup

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by Spectra, Jan 23, 2007.

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  1. Tcbjx9

    Tcbjx9

    CAJUN--I was in the room today when you grabbed 64 points on this setup. way to go. its a shame i dont have two accounts to play it
     
    #91     Feb 22, 2007
  2. great TC. Do you have the capital to open another account?

    Caj
     
    #92     Feb 23, 2007
  3. Tcbjx9

    Tcbjx9

    After the short profs today, yes, I can take some and open another account. Who would you recomend I use? same broker? different? thx

    TC
     
    #93     Feb 27, 2007
  4. TC,

    It may be a bit more complex (needing two software platforms) but having an account at two separate institutions is what I prefer. If one goes down then you can hedge your open positions with the other one. I'm a big fan of redundancy. I have a cable modem and a $29 DSL line incase that goes down. I'm glad you had a great day. Most of us did. Those shorts were zesty!!

    Geoff / Cajun
     
    #94     Feb 27, 2007
  5. wojack

    wojack

    what brokers are compatible with your auto trader for this setup?
     
    #95     Mar 9, 2007
  6. eSginal and TradeStation. Just got done with this setup today. Made 34 points on the YM.

    CajunSniper / Puretick.com Administrator-Trader
     
    #96     Mar 14, 2007
  7. Boib

    Boib

    Is that 34 points total or 34 points per contract?

    What was the total $ value of the trade?
     
    #97     Mar 14, 2007
  8. If have a simple system with an over 90% win rate.


    Flip a coin, buy any stock, no stop, put in a sell limit order 3 cents higher, hold until hit.

    Win rate will be well over 90%

    Too bad your expectancy will be negative :D
     
    #98     Mar 14, 2007
  9. traderdragon2 lol. would definitely not trade without stops or hold overnight.

    check back in a 6mo/year. we'll keep documeting each trade on the system.

    Boib,

    34 pts per contract. But the total $ would be determined on how many contracts you were trading. There is a guy in our room who trades MaxSpan with 12. Myself I only trade it with 6 right now. I'm pretty conservative on longer term setups and trade accordingly.

    The YM yields $5 per point per contract minus commissions.

    CajunSniper / Puretick.com Administrator-Trader
     
    #99     Mar 14, 2007
  10. nitro

    nitro

    A beautiful explanation showing win rate is irrelevant to the bottom line, but expectancy is the statistic you want.

    This may be why it is extremely difficult to be a winning retail trader. It may be that retail traders can mostly [only ?]make money with systems that are low frequency, and that they lose say 8 or 9 out of ten times, but that 1 or 2 times out ten is a grand slam [in other words, invert your system, ie., take lots of small losses, and hang on for the big one].

    Notice the relation to game theory. The 3 cent stop gain says that the market is only offering small gains, and offering large drawdowns to get those gains. In other words, it would be interesting to see what the stop loss [bigger stop loss? smaller stop loss? no stop loss?] would be to gain the three cents with positive expentancy. What is the relation to stop gain to stop loss? Is it a mixed strategy? Note that "more risk" and "less risk" are utility functions that is dependent/relative to/on the trader...

    It is very difficult to sit through these systems...

    nitro
     
    #100     Mar 14, 2007
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