8% drop in the next 14 days for the S&P 500

Discussion in 'Trading' started by prc117f, Oct 26, 2018.

  1. PistolPete

    PistolPete

    Classic confirmation bias , how about the 500 times this type of setup has failed , doesnt fit the narrative ? how about the market curb circuit breakers that now exist solely designed to prevent these events that are now in place . Different world . Heres some advice Black swans by their very nature are not predictable and if you actually luck out on the broken clock syndrome it will be the worst thing that can happen for you because you will actually believe you can do it . Profits not prophets . Lets see the 5% otm daily put option buys that you would have to be doing if you trully believe this hypothesis . Bet they dont exist
     
    #31     Oct 28, 2018
    tommcginnis and schweiz like this.
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    It’s not about being right or wrong. It’s about how much you can earn on your view. personal alpha!
     
    #32     Oct 29, 2018
    sle and tommcginnis like this.
  3. S&P is already down 9% from recent highs. Another 8% is hard to fathom in this economic back-drop.
    Where's the crisis ?
     
    #33     Oct 29, 2018
    tommcginnis likes this.
  4. prc117f

    prc117f

    Remember 8% drop in a day does not mean the market closes 8%. I am predicting an 8% dip intraday. We have much more volatility to come. BTW look at SPY today we had a dip from 270 down to 259.85. Do the math, computer trading etc.. showing signs of distress another flash crash coming within the next 2 weeks.
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2018
    #34     Oct 29, 2018
  5. S2007S

    S2007S


    Hard to fathom???
    Watch and see....the bull market is a decade old, how much do you want out of it, it's had it's time...there are cycles of ups and downs, however wallstreet doesn't believe in down, they believe only one way, up, and won't stop at anything to keep the bubble running...well every bull market comes to an end ....if this is the end just embrace it and make the best of the collapse that's coming!!!
     
    #35     Oct 29, 2018
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    #36     Oct 29, 2018
  7. Look at you now!:D
     
    #37     Oct 29, 2018
  8. maxinger

    maxinger

    Which question are you thinking ?

    How much money have you earnt so far?
    or
    How much money have you lost so far?
     
    #38     Oct 29, 2018
  9. prc117f

    prc117f

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/mone...y-dow-jones-industrial-average-up/1806293002/

    Wall Street took investors on a wild ride Monday, with the Dow swinging more than 900 points before closing down for the day. The Standard & Poor's 500 also shifted violently but avoided ending in official "correction" territory.

    S&P 500, which was up as much as 2 percent and fell nearly 4 percent from its high point for the day, closed down 0.7 percent at 2641.25 – or 9.9 percent off its Sept. 20 high. That left the index just shy of the 10 percent drop needed for a correction.
     
    #39     Oct 29, 2018
  10. It held......but this is a treacherous market.
     
    #40     Oct 30, 2018