70% success rate Forex intraday strategy

Discussion in 'Forex' started by rajesheck, Sep 24, 2016.

Your success rate?

  1. 70%+

    2 vote(s)
    28.6%
  2. 50%+

    2 vote(s)
    28.6%
  3. Less than 50%

    3 vote(s)
    42.9%
  1. mcquak

    mcquak

    rajesheck speaking about price rallies, can you please elaborate on how you found out that 0.12% is "crucial" rate of change for Forex? Did you perform some statistical analyses?
     
    #51     Oct 26, 2016
  2. It is based on moderation approach. If we increase the parameter (0.12%) the risk reward ratio may be improved but the number of signals per month will come down. If we decrease the parameter then the signals per month will increase but the RR ratio may be affected.
     
    #52     Oct 27, 2016
    mcquak likes this.
  3. mcquak

    mcquak

    And the parameter 0.12% is universal for all pairs? I would expect some differencies
     
    #53     Oct 27, 2016
  4. But then my regression generates the coefficient of 10,000. I don't know how they can generate that coefficient with decimal numbers. Probably because my total data size is over 1 Terabyte.
     
    #54     Oct 27, 2016
  5. Trading is an art. In creativity there is nothing right or wrong. What is more important is make consistent profits. You may tweak the parameter as you wish. :)

    There differences in parameter across the segments are :
    1. Index Futures : 0.18%
    2. Equities : 1%
    3. Commodities : 0.5%
    4. Forex : 0.12%
     
    #55     Oct 28, 2016
    mcquak likes this.

  6. This is subjective

    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
    #56     Oct 28, 2016
  7. Art means subjective....not objective. :)
     
    #57     Oct 28, 2016

  8. Subjective is no good to anyone else , you might as well keep it to yourself.
     
    #58     Oct 28, 2016
  9. Trading is a business. And business is a blend of art and science.
    https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/222795
     
    #59     Oct 28, 2016
    mcquak likes this.
  10. mcquak

    mcquak

    I've made quick manual test of this strategy and it seems very promissing. Working on R backtest with quantmod. Anyone else testing it?
     
    #60     Oct 28, 2016