there is no 'depends' here... we already have data! https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries look at the death / million in the last column. italy being the absolute worst case is around 0.01% death of the population and their case count has already peaked... 2 down tick days in a row, which makes sense as it takes about 2 weeks after the shut down to get to the case peak... say we triple that to 0.03% of the population; and the US will never be as bad as Italy, but lets assume we were... we are talking about 0.03% on the US population, about 100,000 .... that's basically the same number as the 2018 flu death count which was 80,000. it's a NOTHING BURGER.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries at the bottom of the table, it's 2.4 death per million.. do your math. please. it's less than a nothing burger.
Italy hasn't peaked, Spain's getting wrecked, and your numbers are with a complete shutdown/quarantine, not business as usual. So, don't be an idiot
It is the death by a thousand paper-cuts that will kill our economy, not the 100K lost folks. It is the dragging on and on and on of this that will pull us deeper into the shitter.
case count has peaked.. death count of course lags. I already tripped the actual for worst case. idiot.
Nobody will let it drag on. They will get the masks and the beds to quarantine people and it's back to normal. It's just first time this happened in US. The second time, people will not panic. This is not nuclear war.
goodness your so stupid. since the case count already peaked, assuming the bell curve shape is about symmetrical pre and post the peak, which is the case for Korea and China, then you are talking about roughly a double.... then I threw in the triple just to be generous.