6 months TopStep 50K Net Profits

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Sekiyo, Feb 6, 2020.

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  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    Oi! You are doing the same thing that caused you to lose first TST account, yeah?

    You are averaging into a losing trade which has a restriction you cannot meet?

    Now is not a good time to average into a losing long. Take it from me, I'm 500 points down at the moment. :)

    But because it is my own money, I do not have a "trailing or max drawdown" to worry about.
     
    #71     Feb 23, 2020
    Ak7373 and Sekiyo like this.
  2. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Buddy.
    I averaged into a winning position.
    Sold 2 at 98.50 + Sold 1 at 93.
    But not sure it’s a wise move.

    Averaging down is not a problem if done well.

    1st account blown up I just didn’t cut my loss.
    Was 3 contracts Long while we made - 30 Pts.

    78.5 was my initial TP but I moved up at 81.5
     
    #72     Feb 23, 2020
  3. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Price retraced a bit more than expected.
    We could even go towards POC again.
    Which is actually my 1st entry (98.5)

    Still bearish so I am holding,
    But I don’t really like the waves up.

    Let’s see.

    34FBD590-9957-404A-8BA4-B54FBAF1C8C4.jpeg

    Problem is we are currently in equilibrium.
    We did just gravitate around the POC.

    By adding the 3rd contract,
    My average price is below POC,
    Which is a bad price for equilibrium.

    Waiting to see if the market wants to move.
    But currently there is not much volume.

    Maybe at US open they’ll hit my TP ...
    In 10 hours lmao. I’m 5hours in already.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2020
    #73     Feb 23, 2020
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    First day of combine #2
    upload_2020-2-24_15-39-53.png

    My report
    upload_2020-2-24_15-46-59.png

    I actually fall asleep.
    Big surprise when I woke up.

    Market filled my TP at 278.5
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2020
    #74     Feb 24, 2020
    jtlexington likes this.
  5. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Got a divergent PnL against TST.
    I take the average Limit Price to calculate entry, exit.
    But I've seen they have an Avg Fill Price column and that's where it diverges.

    Limit Buy @ 98.25 is actually filled in average @ 98.00
    Which is strange since it's a limit and not a market order.

    upload_2020-2-24_20-24-18.png

    I've also flipped upside down my report.
    Added a Kelly criterion measure and averages (in gray)
    However the column percent is arithmetic mean but should be geometric.
    It doesn't want to work ... Maybe because I have blank cells in Btw the days.

    upload_2020-2-24_20-28-50.png

    LMAO Kelly tells to risk 71% of account on each bet.
    That's the problem with small sample size.
    Guess I am over performing.
    Should regress.

    Also can't revert the chart because excel online is fucked up.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2020
    #75     Feb 24, 2020
  6. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    I am short 2 contracts @ 3255
    TP 3245.

    Closed @ 48

    Market went down to 45.25
    Seller @ 55 if filled
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2020
    #76     Feb 24, 2020
  7. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Currently short 2 @ 3252
    I target 3240.

    Market went to 3247,75 and back up towards 52,50

    Not covering yet.
    Target 38.25

    But if Price reach 58 I'll cover on pull back.

    52.50 is actually a nice selling area.
    SL 59.50. TP 38.50
    7 vs 14 pts.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2020
    #77     Feb 24, 2020
  8. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Filled 2 more shorts at 54,5
    I am therefore short 4 contracts @ 53,25 avg.

    Getting out at 50
    I don't want to go towards 58.
     
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2020
    #78     Feb 25, 2020
  9. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    upload_2020-2-25_8-0-45.png

    OK ... Still short.
    Hopefully it pushes the price lower.

    Got out at 48.50

    upload_2020-2-25_8-51-28.png

    upload_2020-2-25_8-41-24.png
     
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2020
    #79     Feb 25, 2020
  10. keroppi

    keroppi

    Hi Sekiyo. Good start for round two!

    Look forward to hearing from you regarding my message when you get the chance
     
    #80     Feb 25, 2020
    Sekiyo likes this.
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