So you DON'T trade something yet feel it's OK to make a definitive statement about it? LOL. Well I DO trade the mkt and I can say that it's NOT random. And when the pockets of randomness do occur, I rarely get trade setups. When things align I tend to get the majority of my trades.
When I say I don't trade it, It doesn't mean I don't look at it 24/7. I just don't trade it. Fact is, 2 instruments, market VS something else. market will have 2x the volatility of something else. That would be random to me.
I look at it 24/7 and trade it (ES, SPY) EVERYDAY. You can believe what you want, all I'm saying is it's NOT random overall to me. Sure, sometimes there is randomness or perceived randomness but I trade directionally and have not found the mkt to be random.
Heres a simple comparison of comparing randomness A crowd of people is a lot more random then one person you study. You may like to trade something much harder to trade, but I'll pick the easy stuff. <i>"I don't look to jump over 7-foot bars: I look around for 1-foot bars that I can step over."</i> Warren Buffett
SOLD 75k of ISRG @ 377.90 before position 600k current position 525k Profits Taken #1 = $2500 Profits Taken #2 now = $7580 total taken = 10k ========= NET Recievables currently = $60k
SOLD ISRG 38k @ 378 Total sold $110k Current position 490k Net profit 11k Last Net profit +2.5k Total profit taken +13.5k 1. Looks like a temporary top to me, if not, no worries, tomatoes can't all be sold at $6 a lb.
<h2>I can't FUCKING TAKE IT , I'm SELLING SOME MORE!</h2> SOLD 38k ISRG 379.30 Current position 450k SOLD position 150k Total Taken Profits = $15.2k NET + $2.5K = $17.7k ============ This will mark the end of my selling, 1/4th for flip money.
having a hard time figuring out this sell process. Now the question is, are bottom buying theories the same as top selling theories? Let me reread livermore ,Loeb, and edwards. It takes me about 45 minutes to re-read each of the books shitting on the toilet. by the time I'm done my ass is numb. I might add back 50k to the original positon, because its not right to sell that much longterm positions, but using a basic trading theory, stocks should be sold here. ========= Is 50k important? YES, The 5% difference between taking off 25% then 20% , psychological, and statistically, it must be right. Everything must be right. <b>EVERYTHING HAS TO BE RIGHT.</b> <i> "No matter what you just been through, this gotta be right. You gotta approach people, you gotta be on the up and up, everything's gotta be all good. </i>
<b>Theory of stupid fuck = If you are one,you should trade a lot less.</b> I admit I'm a stupid fuck.Theres no way I can determine tops or not, on monday , I'm adding back 75k. 50k for the error, <u>25k for being extra stupid.</u> I don't trust myself to make right decisions.