"Sewn up" Now, I suppose it might be possible that this is all wrong, 538 has been before. But this doesn't look all that sewn up.
Let's see how this works out for Real Clear Politics. Keep in mind RCP is an aggregator of polls and leans right. Here is a blog post which steps through their accuracy and partisan bias on 2022 Senate races. https://gelliottmorris.substack.com/p/the-polling-website-where-republicans
OK - and please allow me to state that I'd like your prognostication to become true. I just don't believe it is sewn up at all. Not by a mile.
RCP leans right. LOL. Well, I guess if you're someone on the far left, it would certainly seem that way.
Interesting. If this is accurate, it is a not a bright picture for Democrats. I wonder how much of this is also due to what I call the "Tony Stark" enthusiasm gap, where progressives are pissed off at Biden for not keeping his word and the Democrats are suffering through association for a crappy President.