I dare question it because you are a ideologically depraved piece of shit liar. That's why. This work by Mann et al is the best current look back in time. . Figure 6: Composite Northern Hemisphere land and land plus ocean temperaturereconstructions and estimated 95% confidence intervals. Shown for comparison are published Northern Hemisphere reconstructions (Mann 2008).
mann you are a troll with zero integrity fraudcurrents. I just showed you misrepresented the land ocean temps and land temps... and now I have to show you to have integrity again? 1. you are leaving out multiple recent studies which show the world was warmer during midieval times... 2. plus... you are looking at mikes nature trick... http://climateaudit.org/2009/11/20/mike’s-nature-trick/ From: Phil Jones To: ray bradley ,mann@xxxxx.xxx, mhughes@xxxx.xxx Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 13:31:15 +0000 Cc: k.briffa@xxx.xx.xx,t.osborn@xxxx.xxx Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm, Once Tim’s got a diagram here we’ll send that either later today or first thing tomorrow. I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline. Mike’s series got the annual land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999 for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998. Thanks for the comments, Ray. Cheers Phil Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@xxxx.xxx NR4 7TJ UK The e-mail is about WMO statement on the status of the global climate in 1999 -report, or more specifically, about its cover image. {Note: also see IPCC and the Trick, Keith’s Science Trick, Mike’s Nature Trick and Phil’s Combo [Update November 24: Jones' confession Nov 24 Update on the issue has the following graph, which is the WMO diagram without "Mike's Nature trick". I think the graph speaks for itself, see especially "Keith's series" (green).] [Update Steve May 5, 2010 - Jones' graphic shown here appears to be identical to the version shown in Briffa et al JGR 2001]. Back in December 2004 John Finn asked about “the divergence” in Myth vs. Fact Regarding the “Hockey Stick” -thread of RealClimate.org. Whatever the reason for the divergence, it would seem to suggest that the practice of grafting the thermometer record onto a proxy temperature record – as I believe was done in the case of the ‘hockey stick’ – is dubious to say the least. mike’s response speaks for itself. No researchers in this field have ever, to our knowledge, “grafted the thermometer record onto” any reconstrution. It is somewhat disappointing to find this specious claim (which we usually find originating from industry-funded climate disinformation websites) appearing in this forum. But there is an interesting twist here: grafting the thermometer onto a reconstruction is not actually the original “Mike’s Nature trick”! Mann did not fully graft the thermometer on a reconstruction, but he stopped the smoothed series in their end years. The trick is more sophisticated, and was uncovered by UC over here. When smoothing these time series, the Team had a problem: actual reconstructions “diverge” from the instrumental series in the last part of 20th century. For instance, in the original hockey stick (ending 1980) the last 30-40 years of data points slightly downwards. In order to smooth those time series one needs to “pad” the series beyond the end time, and no matter what method one uses, this leads to a smoothed graph pointing downwards in the end whereas the smoothed instrumental series is pointing upwards — a divergence. So Mann’s solution was to use the instrumental record for padding, which changes the smoothed series to point upwards as clearly seen in UC’s figure (violet original, green without “Mike’s Nature trick”).
Except it doesn't go very far back in time. It's cherry picked data to suit the narrative. Like most of the garbage your dumb ass posts.
exactly, correct... and hence why many thinking people are concerned the earth might be turning towards a cooling cycle because the sun is going less active.
Of course it will "turn towards a cooling cycle" eventually. That's the consequence of global warming. Sheesh.
Once again, you are an ideologically depraved lying sack of shit. Many scientists do NOT think the earth is turning to a cooling cycle. You are simply a fucking liar. This is what the vast majority of climate scientist think will happen. And again, it is not the temperature but rate of change, sea level rise and the climactic results.
talk about cognitive dissonance. have you ever read paper or link I presented? this is only a small sample of the ones on this link ... and this page is only a partial list... there are dozens of citations at this link... http://www.climatedepot.com/2014/06...head-drop-in-global-temps-almost-a-slam-dunk/ Climate Depot Exclusive Round Up of Global Cooling Predictions – June 2014 Aussie Scientist Dr. David Evans: New solar theory predicts imminent global cooling: Dr. David Evans: As we head to the UNFCCC meeting in Paris 2015 where global bureaucracy beckons, a sharp cooling change appears to be developing and set to hit in the next five years. Yet consortia of five-star politicians are not preparing for climate change, only for global warming. Around the world a billion dollars a day is invested in renewable energy, largely with the hope of changing the weather. Given that 20% of the world does not even have access to electricity, history books may marvel at how screwed priorities were, and how bureaucratized science cost so much more than the price of the grants. ‘Global cooling imminent’: ‘Sharp cooling’ to hit in the next five years, says new solar theory German Geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning: UN IPCC Models A Failure, ‘Have No Chance Of Success’…Sees Possible 0.2°C Of Cooling By 2020 - His charts show that solar activity correlates well with temperature, which Lüning calls “a surprisingly good match”. He then presents the various solar cycles that the sun undergoes, going into the works of Gerard Bond, who made temperature reconstructions using layers of ice-rafted material in the North Atlantic. Lüning calls the synchronicity between solar activity and temperature found by Bond “stunning”. U.S. sees ‘slight cooling trend’ since 2005 – NOAA shows ‘the pause’ in the U.S. surface temperature record over nearly a decade - U.S. cools from 2005 through 2014: New paper by Russian solar physicist by Habibullo Abdussamatov predicts another Little Ice Age within the next 30 years Meteorologist Joe Bastardi on declining global temps: ‘Has the admin, the EPA or anyone that can read a chart actually looked at what global temps are now doing?’ Global Temperature Standstill May Last 30 Years, Climate Scientist Predicts: Prof. Anastasios Tsonis at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee,: ‘I would assume something like another 15 years of leveling off or cooling’ New Research Paper Predicts 15 Years Of Cooling: 2012–2027 is predicted to fall slightly over the next decades, due to the recent weakening of the North Atlantic Oscillation New paper predicts temperature decrease by 2020 of up to 1C due to low solar activity for certain locations – Published in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics New paper predicts solar activity will decline over 21st century to average Holocene levels – Published in Climate of the Past Earth’s All Time Record High Temp Set in 1913 — Earth’s All Time Record Low Set in 2010 & 2nd All Time Record Low Set in 2013 — ‘What would warmists say if the dates were reversed?’ Climate Scientist Who Got It Right Predicts 20 More Years of Global Cooling – ‘For the next 20 years, I predict global cooling of about 3/10ths of a degree Fahrenheit, as opposed to the one-degree warming predicted by the IPCC,” said [Geologist Dr. Don Easterbrook, professor emeritus of geology at Western Washington University and author of 150 scientific journal articles and 10 books, including “Evidence Based Climate Science,” which was published in 2011. ‘The Climate Scientist Who Got It Right’: In 1996, CSU’s Dr. Bill Gray predicted weak cooling for the next 20-30 years’ Major Danish Daily Newspaper Warns: ‘Globe May Be On Path To Little Ice Age…Much Colder Winters…Dramatic Consequences’! - Paper features Danish solar physicist Henrik Svensmark on the subject of the UN IPCC: '…many of the climate models used by IPCC and others overestimate the influence of CO2 and underestimate the influence of the sun. … The IPCC is very one-sided, so I don’t think there will be anything reasonable in the next report.' Geologist Dr. David Deming: ‘If the current cooling trend continues, the theory of global warming faces imminent extinction’ - Deming: 'The mean global temperature has not risen in 17 years and has been slowly falling for approximately the past 10 years' - 'Falling temperatures are giving climate alarmists chills'