2014: The Battle for Survival

Discussion in 'Journals' started by neke, Jan 5, 2014.

  1. Didn't you read my post earlier? I said I also daytrade, but only when market conditions favor daytrading i.e 2008, 2020. Any decent daytrader would have printed money last year, its clear that neke's outsized gains in 2008/2009 was pure luck since he failed to capitalize on what was one of the greatest opportunities (covid crisis) for daytraders.

    And a 7 year run doesn't prove anything, I've been in this business for 16 years, you can get lucky with a strategy for years without realising its just luck. Its a brutal business, only the fittest survive over the long run.
     
    #681     Jan 22, 2021
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  2. The success of day trading is not related to the overall market conditions! There are always stocks with high volume and the right volatility every day to day trade no matter what the overall market conditions are.
     
    #682     Jan 22, 2021
  3. neke

    neke

    ------------------------------------------
    Period Update 01/02/2021 - 04/03/2021
    ----------

    Nice quarter, up 32,238 (30%)

    Started the year on a bad note on 4th Jan, losing 19K on the day. I believe that was a result of getting into the year dreaming of a big result without outlining how. A few more losing days, and I sat down on 16th and drew up a plan to make 50K for the year (very low I know), and the strategies to achieving that. Took care of the problem of occasionally doubling/quadrupling down and over-trading, while allowing for discretionary trades to continue (just know that all-out automation has not been the answer as I feel I was leaving out a lot). Good thing, it has worked so far. Look forward to continuing this and building up my account.

    Code:
    
    For 2021
    
    Starting Balance: 106,668  Cumulative P/L: 32,238
    Start Date  End Date       P/L  Withdrawal  Closing Balance
    
    
    2021-01-04  2021-02-01   -24102   0             82,566
    2021-02-01  2021-03-01    49878   0            132,444  
    2021-03-01  2021-04-05     6462   0            138,906
    
    
     
    #683     Apr 2, 2021
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  4. Math_Wiz

    Math_Wiz

    Awesome, Neke.
     
    #684     Apr 2, 2021
  5. DblArrow

    DblArrow

    That initially looks likes some good modifications. Good for you.

    Curiosity, are your averaging down trades, that you seem to have had issues with for many years, a reversion to the mean idea or a continuation idea. Thanks.
     
    #685     Apr 9, 2021
  6. Neke, any update for Q2?
     
    #686     Jul 15, 2021
  7. neke

    neke

    Period Update 04/05/2021 - 07/05/2021
    ----------

    Down quarter, off 30K(21%)

    Lost most of what I gained in the last period. Not going to over-analyze, but it appears over-trading was the culprit. My confidence in full discretionary is once more deeply tested, as the losses continued after the period. Cutting down discretionary now by 50%, as I plan to restrict further my trading - and let the remaining be auto. Too much effort, too little reward: just cannot continue this way. So I am cutting off most of my discretionary strategies going forward.

    Code:
    
    For 2021
    
    Starting Balance: 106,668  Cumulative P/L: 2,432
    Start Date  End Date      P/L  Withrawal  Closing Balance
    
    2021-01-04  2021-02-01  -24102  0          82,566
    2021-02-01  2021-03-01   49878  0         132,444   
    2021-03-01  2021-04-05    6462  0         138,906
    2021-04-05  2021-05-03  -19066  0         119,840
    2021-05-03  2021-06-07   -2646  0         117,194   
    2021-06-07  2021-07-05   -8094  0         109,100
    
    
     
    #687     Jul 17, 2021
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  8. Math_Wiz

    Math_Wiz

    Did you mostly play the long side or the short side during this 3-month period?
     
    #688     Jul 17, 2021
  9. Overnight

    Overnight

    This admission was stunning to me...

    "...Started the year on a bad note on 4th Jan, losing 19K on the day."

    If we assume 100K on the account, that is 19% on the account in a day. That is bad juju. I've done that before. Not a good look. Neke, I respect your journal. You've been at the journaling bit 3 years longer than I.

    Dude, it is time to buy-and-hold. I call it investotradamatics. (Well, not really).

    (And by the way, you are UP 25% for the year, not DOWN 21% for the quarter. :) )

    I can see it in my head.


     
    #689     Jul 17, 2021
  10. Onra

    Onra

    Respect for your honest accounts neke.
    I hope you can turn the tide once again!
     
    #690     Jul 18, 2021
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