2014: The Battle for Survival

Discussion in 'Journals' started by neke, Jan 5, 2014.

  1. neke

    neke

    Just checked the performance of SPY over the last one year. It is up 5.7%, while a broad market portfolio (I maintain) median performance is down 14%. Crazy AMZN, AAPL, FB, NFLX and TSLA are driving the market. Not sure where these will head to in the next six months.
     
    #621     Jul 3, 2020
  2. Indeed, the S&P 500 has more or less become the S&P 5. This concentration on so few tickers might one day come as an unexpected surprise to many.
    Congrats on your good Q2 results.
     
    #622     Jul 4, 2020
    Math_Wiz likes this.
  3. Math_Wiz

    Math_Wiz

    True. Some creative soul should create a pseudo-index called the S&P 495 and post it somewhere on the internet, updated daily, so we can all get a better look at what the real world is doing.
     
    #623     Jul 4, 2020
  4. neke

    neke

    TSLA now at 1394 (after-hours). Getting ridiculous. Won't end well for some people.

    Lost a little bit today on this, but not a whole lot.
     
    #624     Jul 6, 2020
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    @neke you have been at it since 1999, would you do it again if given the chance to redo?

    Hope you have a good 2020.
     
    #625     Jul 6, 2020
    Onra likes this.
  6. neke

    neke

    Yes, will do it again - maybe a little adjustment (which I craft all the time). Important thing is if the method makes gain in the long run. In prior times I could have had a colossal loss thru doubling down. Not any more.
     
    #626     Jul 6, 2020
    ironchef likes this.
  7. What was your TSLA play? It has been going parabolic up for several days now.
     
    #627     Jul 6, 2020
  8. neke

    neke

    Made some good coins on this (TSLA) today. More than made up for my loss the other day.
     
    #628     Jul 13, 2020
    Math_Wiz likes this.
  9. neke

    neke

    Period Update 07/04/2020 - 10/04/2020
    ----------

    Bad quarter, down 17K (13%)

    Started on a terrible note the first month. Happy to recover some of the losses. Could have been much worse.

    Code:
    
    For 2020
    
    Starting Balance: 123,272  Cumulative P/L: -34
    Start Date  End Date       P/L   Withdrawal   Closing Balance
    
    2020-01-04  2020-02-01    8,384        0      131,656
    2020-02-01  2020-02-29  -52,889    1,450       77,317   
    2020-02-29  2020-04-04   25,925        0      103,242
    2020-04-04  2020-05-02    1,949   -3,100      102,091
    2020-05-02  2020-05-29   17,774        0      119,865
    2020-05-29  2020-07-04   16,069   -2,000      133,964
    2020-07-04  2020-08-02  -24,110        0      109,854
    2020-08-02  2020-09-06    4,342        0      114,196
    2020-09-06  2020-10-04    2,522        0      116,718
    
    
     
    #629     Oct 8, 2020
    sysdevel99 likes this.
  10. I don't have much weight here, but I found day trading to be a losers game. Predicting small squiggles and "good" looking intraday patterns is for pennies. Easy money is made holding out for a few days on strong stocks. The only way to make sure to capture that is to be in and waiting. I know little about your strategy, but know you do day options plays. Do you hold for multi-day swings? I have not had a down month since March, averaging down on positions on bad days and selling into good rallies. With your programming skills, you could probably do much better than me.
     
    #630     Oct 11, 2020