2010 Senate Races

eminitrader007 · Aug 11, 2009

Quote from Ivanovich:

So because the "right" was wrong then, you're willing to make the same dumb commentary now? I mean, how many shades of "dumb" are we going to look at this through?
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No, I honestly believe that the market will be better and the dollar will be stronger with a Democratic president, thus I am trading from the long-side only. Atleast I am putting my money where my mouth is. I've got a buy-limit on NQ at 1584.25, with a stop at 1582.25. If I get filled in the next 2 hrs. I'll post the blotter.

Dr. Zhivodka · Aug 11, 2009

So you're beat ...before you even started.

Quote from Lucrum:

Maybe this has something to do with it.
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Ivanovich · Aug 11, 2009

Quote from eminitrader007:

No, I honestly believe that the market will be better and the dollar will be stronger with a Democratic president, thus I am trading from the long-side only. Atleast I am putting my money where my mouth is. I've got a buy-limit on NQ at 1584.25, with a stop at 1582.25. If I get filled in the next 2 hrs. I'll post the blotter.
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It is good that you believe something strongly enough to put your money where your mouth is. All I'm saying is that just because you believe it, it is not a "fact" and you cannot expect everyone else to believe it.

I will believe in this economy when I see stronger signs of life and I know that our debt bomb isn't going to take us down.

eminitrader007 · Sep 5, 2009

Quote from Ivanovich:

It is good that you believe something strongly enough to put your money where your mouth is. All I'm saying is that just because you believe it, it is not a "fact" and you cannot expect everyone else to believe it.

I will believe in this economy when I see stronger signs of life and I know that our debt bomb isn't going to take us down.
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What do you consider to be stronger signs of life? What does the debt has to do with how the market reacts tomorrow?

eminitrader007 · Sep 5, 2009

Quote from eminitrader007:

Although the election is still a year away Democrats have a very good chance of getting 65 seats but we can't sit on our ass and expect to win. We need to remind people that President Obama has rescued the economy and kept us safe from the terrorists. There are 37 seats that are up for election and Democrats have to defend 17 seats and Republicans have to defend 20 seats. Here is the breakdown. (This was sent as an email by a friend so I do not have the link to the source but if anyone finds it please post it here).

2010 SENATE RACES
Safe Democratic: 8 (DE, HI, IN, MD, NY, OR, VT, PA)
Likely Democratic: 5 (AR, CA, ND, WA, WI)
Leans Democratic: 4 (CO, CT, NV, NY)
Total Democratic: 17

Tossup: 7 (FL, IL, KY, MO, NH, NC, OH)

Safe Republican: 6 (AL, GA, ID, SC, SD, UT)
Likely Republican: 5 (AK, AZ, IO, OK, TX)
Leans Republican: 2 (KS, LA)
Total Republican: 13

Here are the Tossup states.

FLORIDA
Incumbent: Mel Martinez - retiring, Republican
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: Martinez sensed that he was vulnerable and will be retiring after having only served one term. Jeb Bush, brother of former President George W. Bush, has stated that he will not seek the seat. A number of Democrats and Republicans have expressed an interest in running, and the race is likely to be one of the most expensive in 2010.

ILLINOIS - special and regular election
Incumbent: Roland Burris, Democrat
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: Burris starts in a weak position, having been appointed under controversy by corruption-plagued Rod Blagojevich to fill the remainder of President Barack Obama's Senate term. It is unclear whether Burris intends to stand in the 2010 elections; two elections will be held, one to determine who serves until January 3, 2011 and another to determine who will serve out a full six-year term.

KENTUCKY
Incumbent: Jim Bunning, Republican
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: Bunning barely won reelection in 2004 with 51 percent of the vote, and there are numerous rumors that Bunning is suffering from dementia and has lost his grip on reality (look up "Bunning" and "little green doctors" on YouTube). The National Republican Senatorial Committee, along with Kentucky colleague and minority leader, Mitch McConnell, has been not-so-subtly encouraging Bunning to retire so that the Republicans can field a stronger candidate. A number of Kentucky Democrats with strong statewide name-recognition, including Lieutenant Governor Daniel Mongiardo (who ran the tight race against Bunning in 2004), have expressed an interest in the seat. If Bunning still ends up running for reelection, Democrats would have a good chance of picking up this seat.

MISSOURI
Incumbent: Kit Bond - retiring, Republican
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: Republican Jim Talent, a former senator who lost in his reelection bid in 2006, is rumored to be considering a run for the seat. Just about every other Democratic and Republican politician with statewide name recognition in Missouri is considering a run, too, meaning that the race is shaping up to be quite competitive.

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Incumbent: Judd Gregg, Republican
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: With New Hampshire and New England becoming increasingly Democratic in their congressional delegations, any Republican, including Gregg, would likely be facing a tough election bid. It is unclear whether Gregg's abortive run as Secretary of Commerce nominee will help or hurt him.

NORTH CAROLINA
Incumbent: Richard Burr, Republican
Prediction: Tossup
Analysis: North Carolina surprised many political experts by voting for Barack Obama in the 2008 presidential election and voting out Republican Elizabeth Dole in favor of a relatively unknown state senator, Kay Hagan, for US Senate. Burr has had one of the weakest approval ratings of any senator after his election to the Senate in 2004 (often in the 30s, sometimes the 20s); his strong support for Bush's policies as well as his antagonism towards funding higher education in a state that is home to many universities and college students is likely to come back to haunt him. No incumbent senator has been reelected in North Carolina since Republican Jesse Helms in 1996, in a race that drew attention to Helms's racist and homophobic beliefs. Furthermore, Burr's particular seat is often thought of as North Carolina's "buyer's remorse" seat since no incumbent for the seat has been reelected since 1968. Former Governor Mike Easley, Attorney General Roy Cooper, and former State Treasurer Richard Moore have all been mentioned as Democratic contenders for the 2010 Senate race; all of them have strong statewide name-recognition and may well be able to defeat Burr.

OHIO
Incumbent: George Voinovich - retiring, Republican
Prediction: Leans Democratic
Analysis: Numerous Republicans, including former Senator Mike DeWine, and Democrats with statewide name recognition, such as Secretary of State Jennifer Bruner, are rumored to have expressed an interest in running for Voinovich's seat. Voinovich is said to have retired in part due to polling showing that he would be vulnerable in a reelection bid. With Ohio trending Democratic in recent elections, coupled with an Ohio Republican Party crippled by corruption allegations in the last few years, this race bodes well for Democrats.
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PA is toss-up now.....but we are still doing good as long as Obama stops trying to be bipartisan.

MohdSalleh · Sep 5, 2009

Quote from eminitrader007:

We need to remind people that President Obama has rescued the economy and kept us safe from the terrorists.
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you get an award for the most idiotic statement of 2009

eminitrader007 · Sep 5, 2009

Quote from MohdSalleh:

you get an award for the most idiotic statement of 2009
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Haha...which part do you not agree with.